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November 07, 2005State NumbersBy Karl-Thomas MusselmanThe final Top 15 County Early vote numbers are now up on the Secretary of State's site. 405,718 total cast in the top 15 Counties with Liberal Travis County casting 10.5% of it's registered voters on the high end, and Jefferson County on the low end with 1.5%. Jefferson is home to many black voters who seem to be even more uninterested than the Hispanic border counties which are voting below the state average. In any other election, I'd be worried about that, but in this election, as has been stated by other conservative bloggers, many minorities are in favor of the amendment. This election is less about party though. It's not a Democrat v. Republican issue. It's somewhat a liberal v. conservative one. But voting patterns are going to break much more along education and income lines than anything else. Which is why I'm not as worried about the upper end Republican areas casting more votes down in Houston as Greg noted today. It's partly because of them, as well as GLBT Montrose voters, that Prop 2 when polled, was failing by over 65% in Martha Wong's district the other week. Note: We should see Harris County bump up its vote tomorrow, as it tend to prefer E-Day more so than the other most populous counties.
Comments
I'd like to know how the precincts in Montrose, River Oaks, West University Place and the Heights are in terms of turnout. I think that might be a big predictor of how strong our turnout will be....pretty strong Democratic and moderate Republican areas. Posted by: Jonathan Steed at November 7, 2005 03:55 PMWhen I got my voter's registration card I was so pleased to learn that, as I'd suspected, I'm in Martha Wong's district (by about 50 yards). Now I can vote against her. Posted by: matth at November 7, 2005 05:05 PM
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