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August 30, 2003Heck, maybe Newt is rightBy Jim DallasLet's face it, we're not big friends of Newt Gingrich round these here parts. But I've been intrigued by some of the former House speaker's recent projects regarding health care transformation. Newt, who describes himself as a "Theodore Roosevelt Republican" when it comes to health, has helped to shove the Center for Healthcare Transformation into the limelight recently. And that's a good thing, I think, because the center's focus on the "big picture" of what is wrong with the health care "zone" (Newt claims health care is too disorganized to be called a "system", and I'm inclined to agree with that logic). In any case, the AARP is pleased with Gingrich. Considering the AARP is usually a pretty strong supporter of everything Democratic, it's worth taking note of what the Executive Director of the AARP, William Novelli, wrote in the preface to Gingrich's book on health care transformation:
Even if you're not inclined to agree with Gingrich on some of these grand-scheme-of-things notions, Democrats could be in serious trouble if President Bush (who has no health care agenda) seizes some of the CHT's rhetoric in an attempt to look bold and decisive (the way he "Greenwashed" his poor record on auto efficiency by promoting hydrogen-fueled cars in his last State of the Union address). Alternatively, the idea of linking health care to national security (Newt talked a lot about bio-terrorism recently at a lecture on Medicare) could be a way for Democratic candidates to kill two birds with one stone. Getting every American good health care is what we Democrats want. But we can't do it unless we look harder at cost containment. We can and should win on health care, but if we let the Republicans out-innovate us, we're going to be marching into a disaster. ADDENDUM: In the here-and-now, I think it's worth pointing out that the sort of ideas looked at by the CHT -- improving health care integration, changing incentives by replacing Medicare deductibles with subsidies, special health care courts, etc. etc. -- provide a pretty strong indictment of the idea that malpractice suit caps such as those allowed by Prop. 12 aren't going to be enough to reduce the cost of malpractice insurance or health care generally. Newt pretty much admits this. Let's face the facts - Prop. 12 (by itself) probably won't do you or your family a tinkers' damn, while taking away your rights all the same. Daily Texan on Prop 12By Byron LaMastersYesterdays Daily Texan featured a column attacking Prop 12. By the same guy attacking Henry Bonilla. I really like this guy! Heh. It's a very well informed and well written column, so take a look, here. Burnt Orange Report Endorsements: Props. 13 & 17By Jim DallasProposition 13 - No endorsement either way. Vote your conscience -- if you have one. Proposition 17 - We endorse a "No" vote. The Houston Chronicle has asked its readers to vote against both propositions, which relate to property tax freezes for seniors and disabled people. The Dallas Morning News suggests a "no" vote on 13 and a "yes" vote on 17. The Austin Chronicle suggests a "yes" on 13 and a "no" on 17. There are good reasons to be concerned with property taxes, particularly for traditionally disadvantaged groups like senior citizens and those living with disabilities. Coming to a decision on these two ballot items was not easy, particularly given the fact that they were widely supported in the legislature. However, this is a very bad time for both state and local governments. Although supporters of Proposition 17 argue that the approximately $3 million in revenue tha local school districts would lose in 2004 could be made up from the Foundation School Fund (and, after all, $3 million works out to something like a dollar per student), the effect of the freeze will likely grow rapidly over time as taxes go up and as as more and more people register as disabled. Moreover, the benefit to each person isn't likely to be all that substantial; the wording of the state Constitution (see Art. 8, §1-b(b))ties eligibility for the tax freeze under Prop. 17 to eligibility for federal disability insurance. According to the Social Security Administration, 257,000 Texans received disability payments in 2000; $3 million dollars spread over 257,000 Texans works out to $11.68 per disabled taxpayer, or just about enough to treat an average family of 4 to a McDonald's dinner on Christmas. And while the costs to education will grow and grow and grow as more people become disabled (and get their 4 Big Macs per year), the benefits won't - unless, of course tax rates continue to rise and rise past 2005. But property taxes shouldn't rise any more in this state! Proposition 17 handily ignores the bigger problem of school finance by giving a small, band-aid-like break to a small group of people; and compounds that huge problem by taking even more money out of public education (and every dollar counts these days). While it's nice to see our state government trying to do something for disabled people, the logic behind this proposed amendment will end up disabling an entire generation of Texans by ignoring their pressing educational needs. We suggest as an alternative that the state focus more on providing health services for all Texans (especially the disabled) instead of tossing out open-ended tax subsidies. And doing something once and for all with our unwieldy school finance system. Proposition 13 would allow city and county governments (as well as junior college districts) to freeze their local property tax rates for seniors and the disabled. While it also could lead to revenue shortfalls for local governments, the idea of letting localities make case-by-case decisions based on their local needs is better than the blanket, one-size-fits-all rule offered by Proposition 17. You know, power to the people and all that stuff. Again, here are the BOR endorsements so far: YES on 10, 11 and 15; NO on 3, 8, 12, 17, 18 and 22; and WHATEVER on 13. August 29, 2003BOR Endorsement: YES on 15By Byron LaMastersProp 15 reads:
Basically Prop 15 would prevent local governments from reducing retirement benefits promised to public servants such as firefighters and police officers. Retired public workers have worked hard for their retirement benefits and ought to be able to enjoy the benefits of retirement without having to worry about local governments cutting their benefits. A YES Vote on Prop 15 will help ensure that. We endorse a YES vote on Prop 15. Again, here are the BOR endorsements so far: YES on 10, 11 and 15, NO on 3, 8, 12, 18 and 22. Taco Bell DemocracyBy Byron LaMastersLive in California? You can VOTE in the Taco Bell Recall Poll. Arnold is winning, but neither Bustamante or McClintock are included, so it's certainly a little suspect (not to mention that's it's Taco Bell after all). But, hey it looks like fun! So if anyone in California wants to buy a Chalupa in my honor, I'd apreciate it (as they will be adding a Chalupa as a vote for Bustamante soon). Found via ToT. Wagons South!By Jim DallasTwo entries from The Nation and The American Prospect make the case that Democrats can win in the South (and among Christian conservatives) by talking about social justice and jobs: The bottom line for Democrats should be clear: Fighting the next election on behalf of jobs, family farms, healthcare and education for all, a populist Democratic nominee could give George Herbert Hoover Bush a real race in a region that the GOP--and its media boosters--now take for granted. The question of the day is, "how does the Democratic nominee campaign as a socially conservative bleeding-heart in the South, but as a socially liberal tightwad in the North?" More on this later... Bolton Gets the BootBy Andrew DobbsI know that this happened on Tuesday but I'm just now finding some time to post on this news. Terrell Bolton, the first black police cheif in Dallas history was given his walking papers by City Manager Ted Benavides on Tuesday, causing an uproar among certain elements of the black community in Dallas. Bolton's four year stint as the top dog at DPD includes such shining accomplishments as having the worst crime rate in the nation, sending dozens of (presumably) innocent people to jail for posessing what turned out to be sheetrock crushed up to look like drugs, hiring a suspected murderer as a police officer and shamelessly playing the race card to keep a job he certainly didn't deserve. As happy as I am that someone who was so clearly not cut out for the job of Dallas Police Cheif got a pink slip the whole episode neatly illustrates all of the things that make me glad I moved down to Austin. First, we must realize that in Dallas there is only one issue, race. No other issue is important because all issues are merely facets of the one issue. South and East Dallas council members run race-loaded and often crooked campaigns such as Black member Maxine Thornton-Reese's 1999 election against a white incumbent with the slogan "Vote for someone who looks like you." In North Dallas the candidates feed off of the racism and fear of its largely White electorate to win elections. As soon as any Black official is accused, legitimately or not, of corruption, the South Dallas self-declared, self-promoting "community activists" jump all over the White officials accusing them of racism. For example, Mayor Laura Miller, a White liberal, was the object of protests led by powerful Black County Commissioner John Wiley Price that included calling her by vulgar names in her front yard as her children were home because of her opposition to former Council Member Al Lipscomb. Lipscomb, who has been nominated to serve on a police oversight committee, has been convicted of federal corruption charges (the conviction was overturned on a technicality though the evidence is overwhelmingly against him). Though it was the Hispanic City Manager, Ted Benavides, that actually fired the police chief (as the Mayor or Council cannot fire the cheif, only the City Manager can), most of the invective has been hurled Miller's way. One writer to today's Dallas Morning News called her "a sick and dangerous person." Another suggested that Benavides fire her instead, which is not only impossible but idiotic. Bolton's attorney says that the explanation for his firing was "Laura Miller told (him) so." The final claim is distinctly unlikely as Miller has been gunning for Benavides as much as Bolton and with a divided council he is fire-proof- she has nothing to coerce him to do anything. It is clear that this is yet another example of the race card being played against White politicians who were simply doing their job, or rather, not doing anything but getting the blame when another officer does their job. Not to be outdone in the stooping low department, Price and other city officials suggested that race riots would follow a Bolton firing. If so, they'll only be able to happen because an incompetent and poorly managed police department festered under Bolton's lack of leadership. There are lessons to be learned from this episode. First, move to Austin- race really never seems to play a big part of our politics, we have Black and Hispanic council members and they are elected by a White electorate. We also have a great City Manager in Tobi Futrell. Barring that, Dallas MUST get rid of the City Manager system. The current Council of 14 members and the Mayor has to have a 2/3 vote to fire the City Manager so as long as 6 members are putting their race over their city Ted can kick back and relax and can let awful police cheifs like Bolton run amok. Currently, 7 members and Mayor Miller would have voted to fire Bolton, but they didn't have that power. Dallas is the largest city in America to use this antiquated system and it seems that they have outgrown its usefulness. Finally, Miller might be able to get a two for one deal. Benavides fires Bolton and stirs up the rancor of the minority members who once formed a coalition to protect him. Miller and the North Dallas members join them in firing Benavides as this takes 10 votes, but then hire a new, Miller-ite manager as it only takes a simple majority to hire a manager (which the 7 N. Dallas members and Miller will make). For the longest time I've said that Benavides and Bolton should both get the axe and now, that just might happen without having to win a whole bunch of elections. Race is a touchy subject and there are a lot of White politicians, including some on the Dallas City Council I'm sure, who are legitimately racist and are set on reducing the rights and status of minorities in America. But Black and Hispanic community leaders severely diminish their credibility when they rally around criminals like Lipscomb, racists like Thornton-Reese or incompetents such as Bolton simply because of the color of their skin. Dallas needs to update its charter, but more importantly, update its heart- a city with such a dramatic and devastating divide cannot do the great things it should. Bolton's departure is a step in the right direction, though we must weather a storm of short-sightedness before that becomes apparant to all. August 28, 2003Austin Chronicle EndorsementsBy Byron LaMastersHere are the Constitutional Amendment Endoresements by the Austin Chronicle. Their verdict? Yes: Good Law, Even If Not Constitution-Worthy - Props 1, 7, 10, 21 Yes With Reservations: Probably Good Law, but Shouldn't Be in the Constitution - Props 6, 11, 13, 14 No, With Reservations: Questionable Law, but Not as Bad as Proposition 12 - 2, 9, 15, 16, 17 No. Bad Law. Bad, Bad Law. (But Still Not as Bad as Proposition 12) - 4, 5, 8, 18, 19, 20, 22 Hell, No! - 3, 12 Arnold: Orgies, Drugs, Fags and more sexBy Byron LaMastersThis ought to drive social conservatives crazy. I don't really have a problem with any of it. Even the gay stuff. He throws around "fag" a couple of times, but I don't see it used with hostility towards gays. The orgy stuff - as long as he didn't exploit women, then I really don't care what someone does in the privacy of their own home, or privacy of - wherever. But it's there. And social conservatives will have a choice to make. Is Arnold who they want to represent the Republican Party? No On Recall, Yes on Bustamante. Another Endorsement: YES on Prop 10By Byron LaMastersProp 10 reads:
Makes perfect sense to me. Larger population centers have a larger tax base and have a greater risk of high casualty and high economic loss fires. Thus, they'll have more up to date equipment. When they buy new equipment, rural and volunteer fire departments can surely use their old equipment. This amendment makes it easier for urban/suburban departments to get rid of unneeded and outdated equiptment as well as helping out rural / volunteer fire departments attain valueable resources. We endorse a YES Vote on Prop 10. Again, here are the BOR endorsements so far: YES on 10 and 11, NO on 3, 8, 12, 18 and 22. More Endorsements: NO on Props 8, 18 and 22By Byron LaMastersAs promised, here are some more endorsements regarding the upcoming constitutional election on September 13th. Early voting started today. For a list of Early voting locations in Travis County, go here (PDF file). For early voting locations in Dallas, go here. Prop 8 will read:
I don't like the idea of cancelling elections in any circumstance, even if it's uncontested. What about write-in candidates? Some argue that this would save money. If Republican majority were really interested in saving money with elections, they would have held this constitutional election on the first Tuesday in November when Houston is having their mayoral election. That would have saved all of the voting locations in Houston from having to pay for an extra election. But I can only conclude that Texas Republicans want to discourage voting. That's why they're holding this election in September when most people aren't thinking about voting, and that's why we have Prop 8. We endorse a NO Vote on Prop 8. I oppose Prop 18 for the same reasons. It reads:
We endorse a NO Vote on Prop 18. And here is Prop 22:
It seems nice and all. But who gets to appoint a temporary replacement? I might support an amendment that would allow the public official on active military duty to choose a temprorary replacement for him/herself. But the amendment fails to make that indication. I wouldn't want a Democrat on active military duty to be "temporarily replaced" by someone appointed by Gov. Perry (for example). So, while I think this prop has good intentions, I believe that it's flawed. If a public official is unable to serve for any reason, they ought to resign (I'm sure I'll get someone trying to draw a parallel to the Texas 11, here. My state senator Gonzalo Barrientos is serving the majority of his constituents just fine). Again, we endorse a NO Vote on Prop 22. Anyway, here are the BOR endorsements so far: YES on 11, NO on 3, 8, 12, 18 and 22. Freshman Cheat SheetBy Byron LaMastersOk, Freshman (and prospective students and all). Need to know what the heck we mean when we talk about "the drag", the "six pack", "SMurF", the PCL or the West Mall? The Dean of Students has a fun webpage set up to help you out. My Fair and Balanced ProfessorBy Byron LaMasters"For FOX News to say they're fair and balanced is like Al-Jazeera saying they're fair and balanced" - My Classical Civilization professor after noting that his class will be fair and balanced. I like it already. Hispanics Attack Henry BonillaBy Byron LaMastersIn today's Daily Texan. A good Opinion column. We all know Henry Bonilla's real constituency. He's the Hispanic puppet for the white suburban Republican folks in northern Bexar County. He doesn't represent the Hispanics in his district:
Prop UpdatesBy Byron LaMastersI'll be making endorsements on the remaining amendments shortly. So far, I have endorsed a NO vote on Prop 12, a YES vote on Prop 11 and a NO vote on Prop 3. Stout Dem Blog has made endorsements on each amendment. I would tend to agree with him with most of his suggestions, but I want to research them more fully before I make a blanket endorsement. The Curmundgeonly Clerk did a good overview of the controversial Prop 12, which is one of the amendments which Texans will vote on in the upcoming September 13th election. Once again, The Burnt Orange Report has endorsed a NO Vote on this Proposition. Curmudgeonly Clerk brings up an interesting point. He seems to be inclined to support the idea of caps on malpractice non-economic damages, but thinks that the amendment is too broad. Remember, Prop 12 would not only enable the legislature to cap non-economic damages in malpractice settlements, it would enable the legislature to limit non-economic damages in all areas of law. The Curmundgeonly Clerk also did a good round-up of Texas bloggers on the topic. Grunt Doc argues in favor of Prop 12 because, well, "Doctors and my malpractice carrier are for it, and Trial Lawyers are against it". I would argue that instead of blaming trial lawyers, we should go after the malpractice insurance carriers that are artificially inflating rates. Off the Deep End has a little bit more of a creditable arguement. We do have an insurance crisis in this state, and Phil is right that "152 counties in Texas have no obstetrician, partly because OBs have higher malpractice premiums than other doctors". I would argue, however, that instead of a gut reaction to just blame the trial lawyers, we should actually look at the real problems. Insurance companies are artificially inflating their rates. And, a very, very small percentage of doctors (6%) are responsible for one-half of insurance payouts. The solution? Crack down on the insurance companies and get doctors to better discipline the very small percentage of doctors who are irresponsible. It's unfair that all doctors have to pay for this and if we decided to look at this problem constructively, I'm confident that a bipartisan agreement could be reached. Rangel MD probably makes the best arguements in favor of Prop 12 that I've read. I still stand by my endorsement, but if you're interested in reading a well-informed and thoughtful arguement in favor of Prop 12, check him out. And of course, there's the far right wing folks who remind us to be aware of Prop 12 opposition. I know... those darn liberal Democrats. As for others opposing Prop 12, Begging to Differ has many of the same concerns that I have about the proposition - the vague wording, the odd date of the election, giving the right-wing legislature more power and the constitutional questions. A special thanks to Half the Sins of Mankind for their link to my endorsement Against Prop 12. They agree with me. Finally, The Sake of Arguement adds a little humor to the case against Prop 12. He points to a case where doctors removed a man's penis because they "removed his penis and testicles without consulting him after they mistakenly thought he had cancer." Well, it's not really funny. Seriously, I'd like more than $250,000 for my penis. I find it rather important, and value it at greater than $250,000. But that's just my opinion... Finally, The Curmundgeonly Clerk points to some newspaper endorsements, which I'll go through at a later time. Anyway, I'm glad that The Curmundgeonly Clerk took the time to research blogger reaction to Prop 12. I guess I have some blogroll updating to do... Someone Needs to do their Research before Posting Comments..By Byron LaMastersMark Harden made the following comment to this thread:
I'm sorry, but maybe we're not looking looking at the same Official Maps of the Texas Legislature. The Staples map as amended was passed out of the Senate Jurisprudence Committee. The map is Plan C01327. Take a look at it. You know Mark, I even saved a copy of the UT area for your convenience. As you'll notice, the actual University of Texas would be placed in Lamar Smith's 21st district (San Antonio). However, the Baseball field over on the other side of I-35 would be in the new 25th District which, yes, would extend all the way down to the Valley. Finally, my apartment, which a mile north of UT on 38th Street would be in the 10th district dominated by suburban Houston. Who would represent UT on this map, Mark? No one. August 27, 2003Bowling for Michael MooreBy Jim DallasI finally got around to seeing Michael Moore's Academy-award-winning documentary Bowling for Columbine. Even conservative critics acknowledged that the film is hilarious; but the NRA wasn't happy. They complained that use of video shot at a NRA convention in North Carolina was inappropriately presented as footage at the NRA meeting in Denver held shortly after the Columbine tragedy. This is (technically) a legitimate gripe, although it's not particularly uncommon for television news broadcasters to use stock footage and I don't think it seriously undermines Moore's point. But most of the NRA's fire is reserved for a segment which ties the explosion of gun ownership in the 19th century to racism: Another outrageous sequence in Moore`s supposedly "non-fiction motion picture," tries to associate NRA with the Ku Klux Klan and depicts an NRA member assisting in a Klan cross burning. The rationale? NRA was founded in 1871—the year the KKK was declared an illegal organization. The absurd connection is intentional. It`s Michael Moore`s idea of humor. To be clear, the line connecting the NRA to the Ku Klux Klan might be gratuitous. But it probably isn't as far from the truth as the NRA wants to admit; lots of Union soldiers were racists (and let us not forget that the Klan was not just anti-black but more broadly neo-Confederate; one could be a racist but against the Klan simply by virtue of being a Damnyankee or "scalawag"). And just because the organization had presidents like Burnside, Sheridan, and Grant doesn't exactly prove that its members were squeaky-clean. But in any case, the fact that the NRA seizes upon one flippant joke in one of the film's lighter scenes shows, I think, just how desperate they are. The larger point made by the "Brief History of the United States" cartoon is that white culture in the United States has been incredibly paranoid and fearful. And in general, this is spot on. (One might also suppose that the NRA - of which Michael Moore is a lifetime member - might be grateful that the film explicitly points out that some of the first gun control laws were racist attempts to disarm the black community.) It's also downright silly to deny that white racism is partly to blame for America's fascination with guns. Many gunowners (and particularly the worst ones, in my experience) are ones who think that owning a gun will protect them from the "criminal element" (Warning! Racially Loaded Term!) of society. In order to check this idea, I did some back-of-the-envelope data analysis using GSSDirs, an incomparable research tool which allows University Web users to analyze data from NORC's General Social Survey. True to my expectations:
Overall, I think, Bowling is a fair treatment of the issue which plays to neither gun-rughts or gun-control ideologues. I think it is one of the best pieces in recent years to show just how foolish the gun-control ninnies are - after all, Canada has lots of guns but very few murders. The problem is clearly cultural - but not the kind of "pop culture" red herrings conservatives and Joe Lieberman whine about. It calls the NRA and Charlton Heston for their clear insensitivity towards gun victims. Incidentally, the NRA thinks that Bowling is "un-American" because, in short, it dares to argue that the reason everyday Americans keep killing each other with guns is... because there's something wrong with the way everyday Americans think and act. So much for "Guns don't kill people, People kill People!" Again - I happen to believe that the right to own a firearm is an important Constitutional right and that further gun control legislation is wrong. But, I also happen to think that private groups like the NRA (and more importantly, the government) are not doing enough to push gun safety, individual responsibility, and a strong community ethic. Redistricting Updates from Off the KuffBy Byron LaMastersYeah, I'm just getting back into the routine, here in Austin, so I'll be back to covering the details of the redistricting fight soon, but for now, Charles has great coverage. Today, the Democratic lawsuit saying that Republicans intent to change the two-thirds rule was a violation of the Voting Rights Act was considered to be a poor case by a federal judge, but it will be reviewed by a three judge panel anyway. Charles also has all the details about the Democratic senators planned and cancelled trip to Laredo, the ruling from the Justice Department and the latest polling numbers across the state. So check it out over there. This is what Constituent Service Looks LikeBy Byron LaMastersMuch of redistricting has been a partisan battle between Democrats and Republicans. Democrats talk about precedent, minority voting rights, and argue that the current district lines which favor Republicans in 20 out of 32 seats are more than fair. Republicans on the other hand argue that they're the majority and their is nothing inapropriate about trying to expand their majority through mid-decade redistricting so that they can better advance their Bush/Republican agenda in Congress. Those have been the battle lines. But Republicans often forget that it's about more than that. If Republicans get their way, they win and Democrats lose. Fine. But constituent service loses, too. Yesterday, I wrote about the Ratliff Republicans who generally lean conservative, but care more about rural issues such as timber and water than they care about the party affilation of their congressman. The letter from our Congressman Lloyd Doggett in today's Daily Texan welcoming Longhorns (back) to campus is what constituent service is all about. Doggett is a liberal Democrat. I know it, I admit it. But find me one thing in this letter that is about advancing a liberal Democratic agenda. If Republicans get their way in redistricting, we lose this type of constituent service. Regardless of your political affiliation, Lloyd Doggett is a powerful voice for students at the University of Texas. If students have a concern about financial aid, for example, there is one congressman to contact to help. The University of Texas matters to Lloyd Doggett and the 10th district. With about 50,000 students and tens of thousands more in faculty and staff, the UT community is a significant constituency of the 10th Congressional District. Republicans want to destroy our constituency and punish us because we vote Democratic. Anyway, here is Doggett's letter, a letter which we would not receive from a Democratic or Republican Congressman from McAllen, San Antonio or Houston (where Austin's representatives would likely live under GOP redistricting maps).
August 26, 2003Freshman Diaries in PersonBy Byron LaMastersI may just go to this. I blogged on the show earlier, here. Anyone want to go with me?
The Ratliff Republicans: Endangered but AliveBy Byron LaMastersSome of my more conservative readers would argue that a "Ratliff Republican" is a RINO (Republican in Name Only). But they exist. These folks are moderates and conservatives who split their ticket. Rural east Texans who vote may have previously been Democrats, but now generally vote Republican. They vote for Sen. Bill Ratliff but also support their moderate to conservative congressmen in Max Sandlin, Jim Turner and Ralph Hall. They also support similarly moderate to conservative Democratic state representatives such as Barry Telford, Chuck Hopson, Mark Homer, Jim McReynolds, Dan Ellis, etc. So what's my point? Both Democrats and Republicans in East Texas generally win because they're moderates. Ratliff has sided with Democrats in this redistricting battle, not because he is shunning the Republican Party, but because he knows that mid-decade redistricting is not only unprecidented, but that it's bad for the rural water and timber interests of his state senate district. And both the Republicans and the Democrats in his district realize that. That's why, if Bill Ratliff runs for re-election, I doubt that he'll have much trouble. Why? He sided with Democrats in redistricting in 2001, because it was the best thing for his state senate district. It cost him the chance to run for a full term as Lt. Gov, but it didn't hurt him at all in his district. Republicans went all out to defeat Bill Ratliff in the 2002 Republican Primary. They ran former state representative Jerry Yost against him who was supported by the Young Conservatives of Texas and Free PAC (yeah, the guys who unsuccessfully attacked "RINOS" in the 2002 GOP primary with gay-baiting political pornography direct mail pieces). So what happened? Ratliff beat Yost by a margin of better than two to one:
Yeah, and Democrats like Ratliff, too. He votes for his district, not for his party (just like Democratic congressmen elected in GOP districts: Max Sandlin, Jim Turner, Ralph Hall, Chet Edwards and Charlie Stenholm), so he didn't have any trouble in the general election.
My point, however, is that Republicans can complain all they want about Ratliff. But the fact is -- he's popular in his district. Most rural east Texas Republicans care more about having their Democratic or Republican state rep/state senator/congressman fight for their water rights and their timber rights and having someone that represents their rural values than they care about being represented by a lockstep suburban Republican who won't take their interests to heart. Back in AustinBy Byron LaMastersWell, I'm back in Austin now, too. I'm in my very bare apartment that I moved into today (my parents will be coming up on Saturday to help me move all my stuff in here). I start classes again at 10 AM tomorrow. I realized this afternoon that the computer I'm using which my dad built me over the summer (his new hobby is building computers, which is great with me) didn't have a dial up modem connection. It just had the DSL line. Well, I won't be getting my cable/DSL modem stuff set up for a week, so I got a little hyper. But I calmed down, bought a dial-up modem at CompUSA, went to a meeting, then went home and installed the thing. So, now I have a (very slow) internet connection. Nonetheless, I'm basically back to normal blogging, so you can all dance in the streets. More evidence we invaded the wrong countryBy Jim DallasThe Guardian reports that UN inspectors have found evidence of highly-enriched weapons-grade uranium in.... Iran. You know, the junior member of the Axis of Evil. VIENNA, Austria (AP) - U.N. inspectors found traces of highly enriched, weapons-grade uranium at an Iranian nuclear facility, a report by the U.N. nuclear agency says. Iran said Tuesday the traces came with equipment purchased abroad decades ago. Iran strongly insists it doesn't have a nuclear program. Poll: Texans oppose redistricting, but aren't happy with Dems eitherBy Jim DallasThe Dallas Morning News reports: The latest posturing came as a new Texas Poll suggests that the public is divided over redistricting. The "Texas 11" are coming to another critical juncture - whether to sit out a third special session on redistricting, which Gov. Perry may call as early as today; Democrats have previously indicated they might return for it. Columbia panel releases final report on accidentBy Jim DallasThe Columbia Accident Investigation Board released its final report on the disintegration of the Space Shuttle Columbia this morning. The 248-page report can be found here. If even a few of the Board's recommendations are adopted, there will be major repercussions in the way NASA is run (and indirectly, the economy of the Houston area). The Board's press release pretty nicely summarizes the report -- The CAIB report concludes that while NASA's present Space Shuttle is not inherently unsafe, a number of mechanical fixes are required to make the Shuttle safer in the short term. The report also concludes that NASA's management system is unsafe to manage the shuttle system beyond the short term and that the agency does not have a strong safety culture. It cannot be stressed enough how much the report emphasizes a lack of national leadership (for well over 30 years) in being an institutional cause of the Columbia tragedy; much of Part II and Part III of the report is a siren call for more funding and serious, Apollo-like goals: Since the 1970s, NASA has not been charged with carrying out a similar high priority mission that would justify the expenditures of resources on a scale equivalent to those allocated for Project Apollo. The result is the agency has found it necessary to gain the support of diverse constituencies. NASA has had to participate in the give and take of the normal political process in order to obtain the resources needed to carry out its programs. NASA has usually failed to receive budgetary support consistent with its ambitions. The result, as noted throughout Part Two of the report, is an organization straining to do too much with too little. - Page 209 As a matter of political reality, the Board suggests that the Space Shuttle be replaced with a more reliable means of accessing low-earth orbit in the near-to-medium term (a program which the Bush administration killed a couple years ago). The report says that "previous attempts to develop a replacement vehicle for the aging Shuttle represent a failure of national leadership. (211)" Back in TexasBy Byron LaMastersI'm back in Texas. The NYC trip was great. Currently, I'm packing to move back to Austin. I'll be heading back there in an hour or two (from Dallas). Hopefully, I can get my computer set up and get an internet connection in my new apartment, even if I have to use my AOL account and a phone line for a day or two (I know, that's so 1990s, right?). Finally, I must say that I'm happy to learn that my state senator and 10 of his colleagues are still in New Mexico. I voted for Sen. Barrientos because he represents my views and fights for his constituents. So, needless to say, I'm still a happy constituent (I guess I always have this fear that when I'm away from news for several days, something crazy will happen). Update: Two down, ____ to go.... So it's official, I'm a "Dean-y-bopper"By Jim DallasJust returned from Howard Dean's San Antonio "Sleepless Summer" rally. The official crowd estimate was 3,500, although it could have been higher or lower. In my humble opinion, there were about as many people there as there were on the floor of the state Democratic convention in El Paso last year (which was about 3,000 plus or minus a thousand). The crowd also raised at least $17,000. State Reps. Ruth Jones McClendon, Michael Villareal, and Eddir Rodriguez (all "Killer Ds") endorsed Dean. Dean's speech hit on many of his standard stump speech talking points (for several minutes Andrew was able to recite word-for-word what Dean was going to say about health care reform). But it alsoincluded an interesting tangent about building schools instead of prisons, which incidentally brought back vague memories of the Nader campaign. On the other hand, it also included a discourse on why Dean feels he would be tougher on national defense than Bush ("He spent three trillion on givin tax breaks to Enron instead of fully funding homeland security," etc.). Which was nice. Dean even cracked a joke about odd it was for a bunch of Texas Democrats to be applauding him on his balanced-budget pitch (which received some of the loudest applause of the night). The energy was amazing. Let's leave it at that. Update (via BlogforAmerica): The report filed by the San Antonio Express News. August 25, 2003Remember the dead and work like hell for the living...By Jim DallasFrom a friend, "Obituary backs 'removal of Bush'" -- When Sally Baron's family wrote her obituary, they described a northern Wisconsin woman who raised six children and took care of her husband after he was crushed in a mining accident. The full obituary can be found here. August 24, 2003Back in Austin, an itineraryBy Jim DallasI'm back in Austin, which means broadband internet access as well as being in the "thick of it" again. I'm planning on going down to see Dean's speech in San Antonio tomorrow. Until then I'm going to unpack and clean up the apartment, and start looking for a job. Hasta mañana, Jim. Text of Republican Ad Attacking HinojosaBy Byron LaMastersLast week Texas Republicans ran an ad in heavily Mexican accented English attacking Sen. Hinojosa in South Texas. Here is the transcript of the ad as provided from his office (via Mike): I went to Sen. Hinojosa's office today and I did pick up a transcript of the Paid for by the Republican Party of Texas I solemnly swear that i Will faithfully execute the duties of the office of
Unfortunately Senator Hinojosa has a record of breaking our trust.
With his record, maybe we are better off if Senator Hinojosa stays in New
August 23, 2003Hi from NYCBy Byron LaMastersJust wanted to say hi from NYC. I'm at an Internet Cafe in Times Square. Although I had some trouble getting the ticket machine to take my change, I made it. Yesterday, several of us went to the WTC site. It was quite an experience, and I'll write about it when I get back. Anyway, I'm looking forward to another two days here before I return on Monday. Update: Speaking of NYC, I am currently in a congressional district represented by a Congressman supporting Howard Dean. I know, only a dork would think of something like that. Heh. August 22, 2003Perry Pardons A-Go-GoBy Jim DallasThe Austin American Statesman is reporting that Gov. Perry has pardoned 35 people from Tulia who were wrongfully accused of pushing dope. Calling the Texas justice system "tough but fair," Perry wipes clean the slate for these folks. Unfortunately, most of them already spent their time in jail. Thirteen others were released from prison earlier this year. Tough, yes. Fair... well we'll get to that. The other 25 pardoned were mostly older folks who committed minor crimes in their teenage years, and have long since paid their debts to society. In any case, the Tulia debacle is now basically over, removing a big ugly stain from our state's integrity. Thank goodness for that. Update: Sigh... a review of the facts indicates that pardon forms for the Tulia 35 have been sitting on Gov. Perry's desk for nearly a month, despite unanimous recommendations from the Pardons board and the consensus of just about every thinking person on the planet. I want my three-and-a-half weeks back. And now, back to non-stop coverage of the Texas 11... Off Year Elections and What they MeanBy Andrew DobbsAlright, so everybody seems to be all tied up on the California Recall and the 2004 Presidential race, but there are 4 other elections in the very near future that will be indications of how well Democrats can expect to do in 2004 and what messages might work for us. First, on September 9 Alabama voters go to the polls to vote on whether or not to raise their own taxes. Funny thing is, the conservative Republican governor- Bob Riley- is the man pushing this tax hike. If this ballot measure passes, even in right-wing Alabama, it will suggest that people are valuing services over cost at this point. If a tax raise can be passed in Alabama then a strong anti-tax cut message can work all over the country. Secondly, on September 13 Texas votes on constitutional amendments. Usually a dull affair with little importance there will be one hitch this year. Proposition 12 is a ballot line that empowers the legislature to go through with tort reform. They probably don't need constitutional authorization to do it anyways, this is a CYA affair, but it doesn't matter as it will almost certainly pass very easily. Having worked for a legislator this year the calls and letters were easily 10 to 1 in favor of tort reform because doctors have convinced their patients it is a good thing. Problem is it doesn't only affect doctors: anybody who wants to sue anybody for any reason will face more of a challenge now as the law is rigged against plaintiffs and in favor of big businesses. If by some chance this were to fail it would be a significant message of opposition to the Texas GOP but there seems to be little to no active opposition so we can bet that the Texas Dems won't use this as a referendum on Perry's sliding popularity. Another opportunity wasted... Thirdly, on October 4 is the Louisiana governor's election. In Louisiana they don't have primaries- all the Republicans and all the Democrats run at once and if no one gets a majority the top two vote getters have a runoff. In Louisiana the Democrats have at least 2 very strong candidates- current Lt. Gov Kathleen Blanco and long time AG Richard Ieyoub. The best thing going for the GOP is Bobby Jindal- a 31 year old former Bush administration official with the support of 3-term GOP governor Mike Foster and most of the Bush machine. He might not even make it into second place. Right now Blanco has a healthy lead of about 6-10 points but after that it is a dead heat between Ieyoub and Jindal with one-time congressman Buddy Leach and former state Senate President Randy Ewing (both Democrats) close behind. If the runoff is between two Democrats it will signal to the rest of the country that even a state where Bush is popular won't just swallow his word hook, line and sinker. Democrats will be encouraged to go to not only tossup states, but states where Bush is expected to win but isn't overwhelmingly popular- Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Tenneseee, Ohio, West Virginia, Arizona, Nevada and Florida to name a few. Next comes the California Recall on October 7. I think that there is a lot out there about this already, but basically we'll find out if budget mismanagement and cockamamied energy policies are enough of a reason to kick someone out of office. Here's hoping, as the chief executive of all the United States has shown incompetence in these matters on a scale that dwarfs any mere governor. Finally we have election day on November 4 which will include the Louisiana runoff and statewide races in Kentucky and Mississippi. In Kentucky I think that the Democrats should already be perking up. Bush easily won KY in 2000, and he has a 70% approval rating there. The Democratic incumbent governor has been plagued with scandal. Even with a two term AG running as the Democrats' nominee there is no reason he should be even close to the lead. Add into this that he is running a staunchly anti-Bush campaign. He should be pissing off at least 70% of the people in his state, but Democrat Ben Chandler is running even or only a point or two behind GOP Congressman Ernie Fletcher. He has a bold proposal to create 100,000 jobs before his first term is up. If an aggressive message and grand vision can keep us even in a state where Democrats are in shambles and Bush is king then why wouldn't it win us Minnesota, Missouri, Arkansas or any of the other states we need to win in 2004? The answer is it will and electrifying the base and giving people the truth is the answer to Bush's not-so-great-anymore numbers. In Mississippi former RNC chair Haley Barbour is running against Democratic incumbent Ronnie Musgrove. Barbour hasn't been in MS in years and is known for his national fundraising base. Interestingly enough though, Musgrove is keeping a tie going and even nudging ahead of Barbour in the money race. No polls have been conducted recently but the Democratic primary saw more than twice as many voters as the GOP primary, even though neither candidate had serious challengers. Down ballot races for the Dems were better than the GOP, which would explain some of the advantage, but if a national Republican with lots of money can't win in Mississippi then why should Bush win in close states? The answer is he shouldn't. If these races turn out as they appear they might- with a Dem victory in all three states and a new Governor in CA (Cruz Bustamante perhaps), it will suggest that the Democrats need to stand tall, speak with conviction and challenge Bush everywhere but the most surley Republican states (Texas, South Carolina, Wyoming, etc.). At the very least it will keep us tided over until January when the primaries begin. August 21, 2003What the UN bomb means...By Andrew DobbsThe bombing of the UN building in Iraq was a horrific tragedy that serves as a highlight to the biggest failures of the Bush administration. First, it clearly shows that there is little to no control of the situation in Iraq. Soldiers are being picked off at will and terrorist attacks are killing dozens. Electricity is still an unheard of luxury amidst the 120+ degree heat. People hate us more now than they did before the war. Bush sent hundreds of thousands of soldiers away from their families, sunk tens of billions of dollars and alienated most of the civilized world in the pursuit of a red herring. This alone should be enough to end any credibility his administration had left. Next, it shows that the worst of the terrorist groups are still active. We went into Afghanistan, a war that I feel was justified, and half-assed it so that Bush wouldn't threaten his then unprecedented popularity. As a result, al Qaida is still active and the Taliban has retaken part of the country. There is no sure indication that this is an al Qaida attack, though an arm of the movement active in Iraq- Ansar al Islam- is one of the most likely candidates. Bush has had 2 planks that formed the foundation of his much lauded foreign policy- Iraq and Afghanistan. Both have been failures. Along with being the first President since Herbert Hoover to have a net loss of jobs (unless something dramatic happens very quickly) and running the largest deficit in the history of the United States his domestic policy is even more pathetic. Democrats must be willing to play hardball if we want to highlight these shortcomings. As the saying goes- if you aren't outraged, you aren't paying attention. NYCBy Byron LaMastersI'm heading to New York City for the long weekend. So, I won't be posting since I doubt that I'll have much Internet access (not that I would find much time to post anyway). I'll be there through Monday night, having fun with friends and hopefully returning feeling refreshed when I come back to Dallas on Monday. I go down to Austin and move into my apartment on Tuesday, then I start classes on Wednesday in Austin. Needless to say, it will be a crazy week. I'm hoping that Andrew and Jim can fill in a little bit while I'm gone here. Posting from me should be back to normal by next Wednesday, even though I'll probably post some on Monday night and Tuesday. Thanks! I guess you can consider this an open thread if there's anything you'd like to add about BOR or whatever. Ratliff to Resign?By Byron LaMastersThe Laredo Morning Times reports that Republican Sen. Bill Ratliff (R-Mount Pleasant) may resign:
It would be a shame. Ratliff is one of the very few Texas Republicans that I really respect. I may disagree with him on the issues, but he plays fair and as Lt. Gov. he worked to include everyone and work with Republicans and Democrats. For awhile, I was impressed with David Dewhurst. I expected him to come in and be a joke. He did a decent job during session. I admire the way that he formed a consensus on school finance. But any respect that I gained for him earlier this year, I lost. It's a shame that people like Bill Ratliff no longer feel welcome in Texas politcs. A real shame. August 20, 2003Cell PhonesBy Byron LaMastersI got a new cell phone the other day. It's always a hassle to re-enter-in everyone, but it's also amusing to go through and find people that you have absolutely no clue who they were, or how you met them. And other people who you see in there and chuckle to yourself wondering why they're still in your phone book since you haven't seen or talked to them in months.. or years. I'm proud to say that I almost shrunk my cell phone list in half - from 138 to 71 now that I've completed my transfer. Lower the Drinking AgeBy Byron LaMastersI got intrigued by the debate going on over on Atrios and Matthew Yglesias today on lowering the drinking age, reacting to a "smart id card" proposal by the DLC. I completly agree with both Matt and Atrios. I'm all for cracking down on preventing terrorists from getting fake id's. But it would also effectively make it more difficult for 16-20 year olds to get ahold of booze - something that I have no problem. Now, I turned 21 exactly a month ago, so the asinine drinking laws in this country no longer effect me, but it's way past time for America to have an open and honest debate on drinking laws. Personally, I'd like to see the drinking age lowered to 16 - although 18 would be acceptable to me. I think that it is important to have several years of seperation between the driving age and the drinking age, becuase its just not very smart to tell kids that they can start driving and drinking on the same day. Young drivers face enough problems. When I first got my license I got into several crashes in my first 2 years of driving. I haven't gotten in any wrecks in the past 2-3 years. It's pretty simple. Young drivers are inexperienced. DUI's/DWI's are very serious concerns. My solution is lower the drinking age, encourage public trasportation and designated drivers and go after DUI's and DWI's religiously and have tough penalties. It's hard to say that as I've had close friends get them and it could really happen to anyone, but it's the right thing to do. Also, make it tougher to get your drivers license at 16. Another option that I would support would be is to lower the drinking age to 16, but also make it illegal to drive with a BAL over zero for 16-18 year olds. Kind of like like Atrios' idea of providing either a drinking license or a driver's license, but not both. The real problem with having the drinking age at 21 is that it's just doesn't make sense. I think that you people 16-20 are more likely to drink because it's illegal. Granted, having the drinking age at 21 makes it more difficult for high school kids to get alcohol. In theory that's a good thing. But in practice, it only makes high school kids looking to try something turn to illegal drugs. I support legalization of marijuana and other drugs because the drug war is a failure and if we make them legal we can regulate them and tax them. Instead, what we have now is an undergroud market for illegal drugs, and its easier for high school kids to get drugs now than it would be if drugs were legalized and only allowed for 18+ in regulated amounts (And as I've said before, I support full legalization of marijuana, and consideration of legalizing other drugs. I'd also probably support legalization of ecstasy). But for high school kids, its easier for them to get illegal drugs than alcohol and I'd much rather have high school kids drinking in moderation than killing themselves in heroin overdoses. Finally, in college - drinking laws are a joke. A complete joke. Any college kid can get alcohol at a party. Friends over 21 will buy you alcohol if you want it. Some bars and clubs don't card very much, and people know where they are. And getting a good fake id is extremely easy (if a little expensive - I never got one, but again, I have lots of friends who have). Heck, I even knew a bar owner (friend of a friend) in Dallas who would let me and my under-21 friends into his 21+ bar... until the TABC came. Heh. So really, what's the point? All the cops do is occationally do stings on the more popular bars on 6th street, and sometimes the gay bars on 4th street. Even at private parties that I've been to, cops have come twice for noise complaints where there were people under 21 that were obviously drunk, and neither time were the cops interested in giving out MIP's. So my point? Just lower the drinking age to 18. Make it less of a big of a deal. Encourage drinking responsibly. Fortunately, UT gets it. My friend Karl who's going to be a freshman at UT was shocked when he went to orientation at UT and went to sessions where "responsible drinking" was stressed:
I think that he'll change his mind. I wrote the following in his comment thread.
Anyway, that's all I can think of for now. Thoughts, anyone? Update: One more thought, is that I really applaud a recent idea by UT. The e-bus. It's a bus system that runs from campus and several other areas with heavy student populations to downtown and back on Thursday to Saturday from 8:30 p.m. – 3:30 a.m. Great program. MoveOn.org wants to run AdBy Byron LaMastersWant a television ad to run across Texas telling Rick Perry and David Dewhurst to stop wasting our tax dollars on useless special sessions, and to stop (in Bill Ratliff's words) "destroy[ing] the Senate"? Then make a donation to the MoveOn.org "Defend Democracy" campaign!
Ratliff Interview, GOP seeks ruling on Senate RulesBy Byron LaMastersToday's news includes an interview with State Sen. Bill Ratliff (R-Mount Pleasant), who's announcement that he opposed redistricting set the stage for the removal of the 2/3 rule and for Democrats bolting the state. Also in the news today is the amending of a lawsuit by Democrats and Republicans going to the Justice Department to stop a Democratic lawsuit accusing them of violating the Voting Rights Act. My favorite Texas Republican, Bill Ratliff, who conservatives call a RINO at times, but is strongly supported by his constituents (he beat a ultra-conservative former state rep. primary challenger last year by a two to one margin) for the first time since the Democratic senators fled to ABQ, agreed to an interview. He was strongly critical of the GOP Senate leadership. The Dallas Morning News reports:
And this is a very interesting revelation. I just love Ratliff. It takes some balls and a lot of integrity to stand up to Tom DeLay.
And there's more.
And the Austin American Statesman notes the end of the senate as he knew it:
Republicans have also gone to the Justice Department to clear themselves in a Democratic lawsuit charging that changing the two-thirds rule and removing the blocker bill is a violation of the Voting Rights Act. The Houston Chronicle reports:
Republicans have a legitimate arguement there, but Democrats are irate because the Republicans went to the Justice Department secretly, without telling anyone. Democrats still haven't acted on their 3 PM deadline yet, but a lawsuit regarding the legality of the fines and sanctions is imminent, likely to claim that the fines and sanctions are illegal because 1) there was no quorum and 2) the meeting was closed to the public, a violation of senate rules.
And there's more on Ratliff.
Also today, Democrats have amended their lawsuit filed in Laredo regarding the Voting Rights Act. This is the same lawsut which Republicans are trying to clear themselves of at the Justice Department. The Dallas Morning News reports:
Confused yet? I think we all are. It's a traveling circus. If Texas won't work, Try OhioBy Byron LaMastersSince the GOP is having trouble pushing over Texas Democrats in our redistricting fight here, they've turned to Ohio. But wait, the legislature in Ohio drew the lines in 2001. So it's not about the courts drawing the maps, a frequent arguement that Republicans in Texas make. So, it must be about drawing fair districts so that Republicans would be more "fairly" represented. Bush won only 50% in Ohio in 2000 after all, even though Gore gave up campaigning there in the last month. But wait! Ohio has 12 Republican Congressmen and 6 Democrats. So, what arguement is left? They're partisan thugs for Tom DeLay and want to grab more and more power, so there's no reasonable chance for Democrats to pick up the House this decade, even with a national tide. That's why the Texas 11 are in ABQ. If redistricting goes through, the House is lost to Democrats for the decade. And it opens up the floodgates for Republican legislatures to do redistricting in every state where they control the state legislature setting a terrible precedent. It allows Republicans to ignore Senate rules such as removing the blocker bill, enacting sanctions without a quorum, holding an illegal closed door meeting, and more. This is why the Texas 11 are in ABQ, and why they have the overwhelming support of their constituents. August 19, 2003Worse than AlabamaBy Jim DallasThis is Burnt Orange Report, not Crimson Tide Report. Yet, we can't seem to get over what's going on down in Alabama. Gov. Riley, a Republican, is calling Alabama's highly regressive tax system "immoral" and, with a firm footing on Christian values like "not ripping poor people off", has called for a big tax hike on the rich to keep state services going. But Riley has also built his case on a desire to see Alabama become a truly great state, not merely competing for the onerous title of "worst state in the country." Guess which state is one of Alabama's main competitors for that dubious distinction? That's right, Texas. While Riley throws fire and brimstone at Alabama's tax code, it's worth keeping in mind that things are no better here. The bottom 20 percent in Alabama pay 10.6% of their incomes in state taxes each year; but in Texas, our lowest quintile pays even more - 11.4%. The average Texan pays three times as much in property taxes and about 20% more in sales taxes as the average taxpayer in Alabama. Texas spends less money per capita than Alabama on education, health care, welfare, highways, and environmental protection. But Texas does spend more than twice as much on corrections. In short, all that extra money poor folks pay in taxes in Texas is mostly used for locking other poor folks away in prison. The right-wing is hoping that Riley fails, because they know what this is really about:
We need to rally behind Gov. Riley because a victory in Alabama could and should energize progressives and pragmatists, both Democrats and Republicans, to do what is right for Alabama, and eventually here at home in Texas. Accordingly, I move that the Burnt Orange Report make a strong endorsement of a "yes" vote on Sept. 9, for any folks from Alabama who might just be surfing around here. I also must enthusiastically hope that we lefties and centrists join the battle for the soul of Texas, and soon. The next legislature needs to act on tax reform, a major issue that was foolishly ignored in the last election. There is a great potential to unite minorities, working-class whites, and people of faith (both conservative and liberal) on this pressing issue. Let's get to work! Houston: Not a War ZoneBy Jim DallasThe Houston Press had an interesting note in its "Hair Balls" section this week:
A quick check of the math shows that the Press is a little off base. In 2001 (the last year for which statistics are available), the Houston Police Department report 267 incidents of murder and non-negligent manslaughter (read: "hostile deaths"). This works out with a population of 1.9 million to an incident rate of 13.3 hostile deaths per hundred thousand. For the Richmond Strip itself, we can assume the area population is about 8,000 (since the area immediately surrounding Richmond encompasses about one square mile and the population density of the Montrose area is roughly 8100 people/sq. mile), yielding an annualized incident rate of 162.5 per hundred thousand. Meanwhile, back in Iraq, there have been 192 U.S. combat casualties since March. At maximum there were about 230,000 Americans stationed in Iraq (currently, there are 146,000 deployed). Figured conservatively, using the smallest numerator and the biggest denominator, the death rate in Americans in Iraq is 83.5 per hundred thousand between March and August; the annual rate would be 200 per hundred thousand . It isn't clear how many Americans are in Baghdad itself; although it is known that the city is occupied by elements of the 4th Infantry Division. It is probably reasonable to assume that between 10 and 20 percent of U.S. forces are in the city of Baghdad, where 20 percent of Iraqis live (and 12 percent of US casualties occurred). Since the number of deaths in Baghdad are not out-of-sync with the casualty rate in the rest of Iraq (Baghdad has about 22% of Iraq's population and presumably no more than half of Americans are stationed there; , one can safely assume that the murder rate in Houston is not higher than in it is in Baghdad; indeed, the Bayou City is 15 times safer. And even figured very conservatively - note that most of the people who traffic the area clubs do not live in Montrose - a Richmond Strip visitor is clearly less likely to be killed than an American soldier in Iraq. At this point, one may ask why some misleading back-of-the-envelope math by the Houston Press is even of relevance; after all, isn't the point of the "Hair Balls" blurb to make a whimsical observation about crime in the Richmond Strip? First, area residents should not become hysterical about living or shopping or clubbing along the Richmond Strip. You are not in imminent danger. Second, one could only imagine what would happen if an unscrupulous politician took hold of the Houston Press's clip and insisted (inaccurately) that Houston is literally becoming a war zone. It is true that crime is a major problem in Houston, with crime rates well above the national average. But it is clearly nowhere near anarchic proportions. Thirdly, conversely, and more probable, is that the folks who got us into this misbegotten Iraqi war will make bold pronouncements like "our boys are safer in Baghdad than they are in America!" And use that line as both an apology for hawk blunders as well as a siren call for even-tougher measures in the War on Crime at home. So go have some fun (visit beautiful Houston), but watch your back. Dems to file another Suit over SanctionsBy Byron LaMastersAfter several days of sanctions and fines, which the Democratic senators in New Mexico refuse to pay, it looks as if they will file a lawsuit this afternoon to prevent Republicans from imposing sanctions on their office staff. The Houston Chronicle reports:
Of course, both sides continued to play the racial rhetoric.
And the Republicans are sorely mistaken if they think that sanctions will encourage Democrats to come home or compromise. It's only strengthened the Democrats resolve.
The Dallas Morning News described the new sanctions:
But Democrats will be resourceful, even if they have to run carpools, ration paper clips and take out their mail.
In an editorial today, the Dallas Morning News lamented the end of bipartisanship in the Senate. Last week the Quorum Report harshly criticized Republicans for their failure to sanction a Republican colleague in 1997 who was a convicted sex offender, while finding it necessary to sanction the Democratic senators in ABQ currently. Yesterday, however, the Quorum Report criticized Democrats for the racial rhetoric:
There should be some news about the Democratic lawsuit coming out at 3 PM. I'll update when necessary. Washington Times LiesBy Byron LaMastersI saw the story about Rep. Janklow (R-S.D) a couple of days ago. I was reading kos's comment thread on the story and came across this:
Now, I'm sure that they'll correct it, but this is rediculous. I guess when right-wing bias won't work, the Washington Times resorts to outright lies. This is really quite outrageous. I'd like to believe its a mistake, but considering the source, I really don't know. August 18, 200330 YearsBy Byron LaMastersI have 10 minutes before the day is up, so I'd be remiss not to wish my parents a very happy 30th anniversary. Congrats to them. Here's to 30 more!! In Defence of LiberalismBy Byron LaMastersLiberalism gets a bad rap, but there ought to be no shame in being a proud liberal. From Joe Conason at Salon.
Dean gets Hispanic Congressional EndorsementBy Byron LaMastersI've written before that Howard Dean has had a little bit of trouble winning over minority voters. Dean's base is considered to be "gay and lesbian voters, urban and surburban NPR liberal whites, some environmentalists, etc". So far, he's been acceptable to most Black and Hispanic leaders, but has yet to be embraced by them. Needless to say, this makes me happy.
Grijalva has a strong following in his Arizona district. He won by a heavy margin in a tough primary against a very well funded EMILY's List candidate (if I remember correctly). A lot of endorsements are relatively meaningless, but I think that getting a high profile Hispanic endorsement in the first primary with a large Hispanic population is a big help for Dean. Will the Fight ever End?By Byron LaMastersThe Dallas Morning News outlines why each party won't give up this fight and how each side has misunderestimated the other. As for the misunderestimation, both sides have done it.
And the Democrats won't quit.
But neither will Republicans.
So, what will happen? I still don't know. But both sides have staked out their ground, and I doubt the fight will end soon. Charles has more from around the state including an interesting Austin American Statesman editorial on the effects of race and partisanship in the redistricting fight. Republicans Raising Taxes in AlabamaBy Byron LaMastersThis is bizarre.
Well, I'm sure that I'd agree with Riley. But I'm really kind of shocked that a Republican is spending his political capital on raising taxes for the wealthy folks that helped bankroll his campaign. If only Bush would govern this way, he'd get re-elected in a walk.... or lose the GOP nomination. August 17, 2003Republicans Run Ad in ValleyBy Byron LaMastersThis is interesting. The ad attacks State Sen. Juan “Chuy” Hinojosa (D-McAllen). And the folks there think its racist because the ad uses very heavily (Spanish) accented English. Do Republicans think that they can better communicate with Hispanic voters by speaking with a Mexican accent? Speaking phrases of Spanish is one thing, but accented English? I think that it sort of assumes that they're stupid or something. Anyway, the McAllen Monitor reports:
This goes right up there with the poll tax, err.. sanctions as two of the nuttiest ideas of the Republian Hispanic outreach program. Really. I need to make a new category entitled "Are they really that dumb?". This post would qualify for it. Is Ahnold anti-gay?By Byron LaMastersI don't know if the Ahnold hype will start to die down now that its been a week, and polls are begining to show the he's vulnerable. But, one thing is for certain. The attacks are already coming in from all sides. One of the reasons Ahnold has a chance to win in California is because of his supposed liberalism on social issues. Ahnold is pro-choice, pro-gay rights and pro-gun control. So he says. The gay media (in Dallas, so I would assume the same in California) has already picked up on reports of Ahnold's past anti-gay comments. From the Dallas Voice:
This of course begs the question. Should gay leaders give Ahnold a pass on insensitive comments the way that they did with the supposedly insensitive comments of Pete Stark? I don't know. On the surface it seems similar. Looking at it further, Democrats could argue that while Stark has a 100% lifetime rating with the Human Rights Campaign, Ahnold's comments were made as he was campaigning to elect anti-gay Republicans. So is it a fair attack? I'd say so. I think it could make for a very nice radio ad in the San Francisco or LA market... "Arnold Schwarzenegger says that he'll support gay rights, but he's called Democrats 'girlie men' in the past to help elect anti-gay Republicans...". Or mailers in certain areas. Or ads in the gay media. Although, the story will probably make its rounds through the gay media for free. I think it goes without saying, but while I really like Georgy Russell and Larry Flynt, in all seriousness, I strongly advocate that everyone in California vote "No on Recall, Yes on Bustamante". Take your instuctions from Kos. The Latest GOP ArguementBy Byron LaMastersFrom the Houston Chronicle. Clearly, the Texas 11 are responsible for the northeastern blackout. Or Howard Dean. Or Gray Davis. Or maybe Canada. Really, the sad thing is that this is a more sensible "arguement" than some of the others that the GOP has tried. A step closer to DictatorshipBy Byron LaMastersWell, Kos hit it right on the head. Republicans don't like election results, so they want to change the rules (California, Texas, Colorado, etc.). But now that's not good enough, so they start cancelling them. Or at least they consider it. I blogged earlier that Phil King (R-Weatherford) had filed a bill to pospone the filing deadline in order for the justice department to clear a redistricting map. August 16, 2003August 15, 2003A Personal Post.By Byron LaMastersSo, I haven't been blogging that much the past several days. And yeah, I might be blogging a little light in the next few days (Jim and Andrew, it's your turn, hehe). What's going on, you ask? Well, I've had a personal issue that I've had to work out. I try to keep the focus of the Burnt Orange Report on politics. Some humor, some sports from time to time, and I throw in some other stuff, as do Jim and Andrew, but the focus is clearly political. That's why I rarely do what I'm about to do now... write about what's going on in my personal life. I'm doing it for two reasons. One, so that my readers understand why my posts have been light the past several days, and two, because I often find writing therapeutic to myself. Anyway, I really don't feel like I should ask people to read my drama, in fact, I'm a little apprehensive about posting this in the first place as I know that it will be read by gay friends and straight friends, conservative friends and liberal friends, my parents, fellow bloggers and then all sorts of random people on the internet that I don't know. So, I'll be vague and speak in generalities for the most part. Still, I feel that the personal benefits to me of writing this post outweigh the potential problems. I'll feel a lot better in doing it. So, for whoever is left reading at this point, and you're still interested, read onward for a really long ramble about my current thoughts and feelings. You might call it a silly ramble. I'm going to call it personal therapy. I don't care what anyone else thinks, it's good for me. Updates: I'll be updating this post regularly as things occur, so check to the bottom for updates. Wow. You're interested. Thanks. So the news is that I broke up with my boyfriend on Thursday night. Yeah, I mean boyfriend. I'm gay, which most of yall ought to know if you've read my bio, and posts on the Lawrence decision. Why? Well, I'm going to New York City on Thursday with some friends, then I'll be coming back to Dallas the following Monday. I'll be heading back to Austin the next day on Tuesday, then I'll start classes again at UT the next day on Wednesday. So, I'll be in Austin and he'll be in Dallas (Arlington). And distance doesn't work. It just doesn't. I can't do it. Sure, say all you want about being committed and stuff, but I'm a college student. We'll say that we'll visit every weekend, but it won't happen. We'll get busy with our lives and even though Dallas is only a 3 hour drive from Austin, it's rare that I come back home more than once a month. And I'm usually busy when I'm home. Seeing friends and family, going to various events, etc. Am I willing to have a boyfriend that I'll only be able to see twice a month? Not really. Maybe later in life I could do a long distance relationship for a short period of time. But now? I can't. I just know myself. I'm being honest with myself. And I know that a long distance relationship won't work. So over the last week I had been conflicted. How do I deal with it? I really, really liked my boyfriend. I loved him. And I still do. And I don't like to say that word. It makes me feel like I'm being insincere. But when I say it, I mean it. I had met his family. He had met mine. We clicked. No, he wasn't as fanatical about politics as I was. He honestly didn't care too much about it. And I respected that about him. And he respected the fact that I was really involved. He went to a Dean meetup with me because I asked him. He went to a Young Democrats party because I invited him. That's all I ask in a boyfriend. Actually, more than what I ask. It's great if they're as crazy about politics as I am, but in all honesty, one thing that I've learned dating him is that it's a blessing in a way to be with someone that's not a political junkie. It's a relief actually. I can spend an afternoon/evening/day/night with someone I like and care about and not have to talk about politics. I love that. There's a lot more to life. There really is. So some background is probably necessary. He's 21, goes to UT-Arlington and works at a Chili's. I met him back the first week in June. I had just been back in Dallas several weeks. I had found him online, and as is often the case, we quickly realized that we had some mutral friends. We hit it off and decided to meet. And two days later we decided to meet again and go to a movie. Then we decided to meet again at a club. Then we met again for dinner. Then it was like I was seeing him every other day. And I really liked him. When the Lawrence decision was announced I invited him to go to the Dallas rally with me. He went. It meant a lot to me to be able to hold his hand as we celebrated our new rights. Later that night, we decided to make it all official and be "boyfriends". Aww. It was really a fabulous day. I'll never forget it for the rest of my life. Things went pretty well until the last week. He met my parents in June and saw them multiple times as I'm living with my parents for the summer. We went to a PFLAG meeting with my mom (she's on the PFLAG Dallas board). We met each others friends. I met his family at his Fourth of July get together. I think I confused everyone, since I wasn't a friend from Chili's or school, but our official line was that we had "mutral friends" and "met at a party". He told his parents the truth, as he's out to them, but not to his extended family. The same goes for me. He also joined me in Austin for my 21st birthday in July. That meant a lot to me. So, what happened the last week or two? I've sort of become really flaky and weird. I guess it's because I've sort of known that it would have to end, at least end in the way things had been this summer, and instead of trying to enjoy things as long as I could, I started to worry about how to deal with it all. And it would be easier if it were someone I didn't like. Or couldn't see myself with. Or really cared about. Because then I could just write it off as a Summer fling and get back to my life and school in Austin. And also because I don't get involved in a relationship unless it's someone I really like. I usually don't call people back after first dates. Or they don't call me back. Heh. So much of the gay world is full of drugs and drama and things I avoid (and I'm sure that a conservative reader will point this out and jump on it. Please. So is the straight world. I think that more gay people turn to drugs and other vices mostly because of discrimination many of us face, and drugs are an escape from that. It's sad, but true). You'd think it's not that hard to ask for an intelligent, attractive, interesting gay guy with a good sense of humor around my age that lives near me that's DDF (drug and disease free for yall breeders out there. Heh.). It's not. And I'm picky. I don't ever really look for a boyfriend. I just wait for it to happen. I try not to get too attached, and I haven't ever really had a serious relationship in several years. I think I'm actually afraid of attachment to an extent. So back to the original question. Why the weirdness from me recently? Because I haven't known what I wanted to do. Do I just break things off completely? Or do I say lets have an open relationship, where we're together when we're together and we're not when we're apart? Or do I stay with him and just decide we'll deal with it? Or do I break it off, but decide to try and stay close, even if things are a little weird and keep our options open for the future? It's not an easy question. Especially with someone that you really like. When I brought this up Thursday night, he was actually a little bit relieved in a way because he thought that I was mad or upset with him, because I had been avoiding his phone calls. Eventually, we decided that breaking up would be the best choice. But I really want to stay close to him. I mean I really do like him. We certainly have had a few problems, but nothing that we can't work out if we were able to be together. But we won't. We both feel that we met the right person, but at the wrong time. When we both graduate and if we're both living in the same city, then who knows what will happen. I could see myself with him. But now, it probably won't happen. And it makes me really sad. Because I know that I probably won't meet anyone quite like him for a long time. I'll always love him. And I miss him already. Shit, I want to see him now. Fuck. Nothing like knowing that you did the right thing, but just hating the fact that you had to make the decision. That's how I feel. And it's a Saturday night. And I really want to see him. But I won't be. And I could go out clubbing. It's my last weekend in Dallas, but I just don't feel like it.
Update - Sunday, 8-17-03 10 AM: Well, gosh. I just got home from church. I went with my parents. It's their 30th wedding anniversary. Wow. Thirty years. I really admire that. I've decided that it's tough to deal with this stuff rationally. I tend to consider myself a pragmatist. I usually don't get too emotional about most things. Sometimes with politics. Heh. But that goes without saying. But last night, I threw logic out the window, and well I'm glad I did. So, I called him last night and told him to call me when he got off work. He was closing. He called back a little after midnight. I told him I wanted to see him. He told me he'd call me back after he was finished cleaning his tables. He did. I just started driving over. At 1:30 AM. Sensible, huh? I just really wanted to hold him. Weird, is it? I don't know. But I made it there. And I held him. And I was happy. And somehow, I managed to beat my parents to 8:30 AM church. Sometimes I really impress myself. I decided that I also want to do something special with him before I go. Like go to a baseball game. Or go to Six Flags, or Hurricane Harbor. Or Wal-Mart. Heh. I don't know. I feel a lot better today though. But now? Time for bed. Everyone is Fair and Balanced!By Byron LaMastersBlah 3 has a huge list of fair and balanced bloggers. We're here. We're there. We're everywhere. Update: Scrolling throught the comments over there I see that Charles listed my site in the comments. Thanks! What other Texan bloggers are fair and balanced? 100 Fair and Balanced Monkeys Typing, Dru Blood: Fair and Balanced Since 2002, Esoterically, Frothing at the Mouth, The Gunther Concept, Fair and Balanced Puppy Story Time with Norbizness, Off the Kuff, Ones and Zeros, Perverse Access Memory, Rhetoric & Rhythm, Skeptical Notion, Ted Barlow, The Scarlet Left and Yellow Doggerel Democrat. Who am I missing? More SanctionsBy Byron LaMastersThis is rediculous. The Houston Chronicle has the latest.
A Fair and Balanced Letter to Rick PerryBy Byron LaMastersA friend of mine in the University Democrats wrote the following letter to Governor Perry.
Seems pretty fair and balanced to me! Austin's FutureBy Byron LaMastersLiveablecity commissioned a poll of Austin residents on their thoughts on the economy and priorities for the city now, and in the future. So, go here for results and analysis. Check out the Lasso analysis, too. Poll Taxes: 21st Century StyleBy Byron LaMastersThe Quorum Report reports rumors of further penalties Republicans want to impose on the Texas 11 in ABQ. I've said this before, but all Republicans have to do is wait out the Democrats. Democrats won't stay in ABQ forever. If Republicans would have just tried and negotiated with them, they could probably have worked out a compromise (altough its way too late and too polarized at this point), but what they're doing is antagonizing the Democrats daily. The only effect that it will have is that the Democrats will fight much harder and longer than they would have otherwise, and it continues to energize Democrats and minority voters throughout the state. I don't get it. But then again, there's a lot of things about Republicans that I don't understand.
August 14, 2003Bipartisan Agreement in the House?By Byron LaMastersNo big news today. Yesterday, Dave Beckwith (Dewhurst's spokesman) did apologize for his "they think they're Rosa Parks" statement. For the first time, there's a bipartisan group of House members interested in creating a bipartisan panel for redistricting (which Jeff Wentworth has proposed in the Senate). It probably won't go anywhere, but at least its progress (I personally support a bipartisan panel to decide redistricting -- begining in 2011). The Austin American Statesman reports:
Meanwhile, the Texas 11 received a visit from Colorado Democratic Senators who were the victim of similar GOP tactics. The Fort Worth Star Telegram reports:
August 13, 2003We're Fair and Balanced, too!By Byron LaMastersI'm proud to announce that the Burnt Orange Report will participate in Fair and Balanced Friday!
I've seen this several places today, so I'll just thank everyone who I've found so far participating: Atrios, Charles, Ginger, Mike, I'd be remiss not to mention that Al's book is sitting at #1 over at Amazon.com. So, I guess Al Franken better write FOX News a big thank you card for giving him all the free exposure. Regardless, welcome to the new and improved Burnt Orange Report: Fair and Balanced News, Politics and Fun from Deep in the Heart of Texas. Scientists Plot Hubble's DemiseBy Jim DallasAnd now for something totally different... Sky and Telescope has an interesting story on what lies ahead for the Hubble Space Telescope. After 13 years on-orbit, the HST is one of a shrinking pool of accomplishments NASA can point to these days (even after its initial vision impairment brought embarassment to the space agency). It's kind of like a celebrity, just like J. Lo. Well, maybe not exactly. In any case, all good things must come to an end, and Hubble is going to have to go if NASA is going to afford bigger and better space telescopes. But when and how NASA is going to kill its school-bus-sized satellite is a matter of much controversy... Grab your propeller-cap and pocket-protector and just read the S&T article, OK? Another Good SummaryBy Byron LaMastersI have a tendency to post things as they happen, and do analysis later. Charles is good at putting it all together, so his recap of the fines, their legality and all is here. I must add that the funding for the GI Forum was restored. I guess our brilliant governor realized that cutting their money could look racist to some people, and that others (like me) would use it as an issue to show Republican racial insensitivity and hypocrisy. And the only think more shocking than seeing a flash of brilliance by Guv. Goodhair is to see that Owen agrees with Charles and I that the fines are illegal. Kind of. Anyway, be sure to check out Charles's recap here. BOR Endorsements: No on Prop 3, Yes on 11By Byron LaMastersAs promised, we're making more endorsements in the upcoming September 13 election. Earlier, we endorsed a NO vote on Prop 12. My father, a doctor, strongly supports this prop, and I, once again offer to post his position on here unedited if he wishes. However, my position goes unchanged. I oppose Prop 12 for the reasons outined in my earlier post. No on 3: Prop 3 would "authorize the legislature to exempt from taxation land owned by a religious organization that is leased for use as a school...". This is a terrible precedent to start. It basically encourages vouchers and helps to tear down the legal wall of seperation of church and state. We oppose this proposition. Here's the Houston Chronicle Endorsement Against Prop 3. They detail most of our arguement against Prop 3, and we support their position, so read this!
We're not against everything, though. We support Prop 11. We support Texas wineries, and we support efforts to help our economy, so again, we support the Houston Chronicle position on Prop 11:
And no, we don't agree with the Houston Chronicle on everything. August 12, 2003Do you have a Gay Car?By Byron LaMastersI have the #8 Lesbian car! Yeah, I drive a Ford Ranger. So what are the gayest cars, you ask? The ultimate lesbian car is the Subaru Outback and the ultimate gay car is the VW Jetta. Nice. Gotta love Car Talk. Found via TX Woof, a new site which I found on my referrals page. Thanks for the link! Perry forces Hispanic Veterans Group to Close OfficeBy Byron LaMastersThis has been in the news for a couple of weeks now, but it made the Dallas Morning News again today. A Hispanic Veterans group that opposed redistricting is now being punished by Governor Perry. He cut $300,000 from their budget, which is forcing them to close their office in Dallas.
So, which party is playing the race card, again? It's time to expose the say-one-thing-and-do-another Republican hypocrisy with minorities. Heck, with everyone. GOP Sanctions Dems $5000/day/SenatorBy Byron LaMastersWithout a quorum to conduct official business, 18 Senators have decided to impose sanctions of the 11 Democrats in New Mexico, the Dallas Morning News is reporting.
Democrats won't pay it, though. So what's the point? More lawsuits probably.
The Quorum Report reported that 18 of the 20 Senators not in New Mexico were meeting in closed door session at 2 PM. The session is illegal. Update: The sanctions are $1000 for the first day, $2000 for day two, $4000 for day three, and $5000 thereafter per senator. My guess is that it starts immediately, but it could be retroactive:
I personally think that it's disgraceful that Ken Armbrister would allow himself to be part of this illegal session to sanction his Democratic colleagues. Another thought. Is this part of the GOP Hispanic outreach program? Fining all seven Hispanic Senators $5000 per day? Republicans just don't get it. Hispanics will be a majority in this state very soon, and they won't forget this shameless behavior by the Republican majority today. Update: Apologies to Sen. Armbrister. He voted no, according to the Quorum Report:
Dewhurst Spokesman: "Dems think they're Rosa Parks"By Byron LaMastersVia the San Antonio Express News:
But remember, they're all still friends. Fines Violate Civil Rights Act, Dems SayBy Byron LaMastersFrom the Quorum Report:
Democratic Gov. Carole Keeton Strayhorn?By Byron LaMastersNo way. But a source of Dave McNeely thinks that it might be a possibility:
There's several reasons that this won't happen. For one, Strayhorn's Republican roots are deep. She ran for Congress back in the 1980s as a Republican (against Jake Pickle) when there were no Republicans in Austin. Zero. Her son, Scott McClellan is Bush's new spokesman. Dallas Democratic activist and Platform Committee member Tom Blackwell gives his own reasons why Strayhorn would not run as a Democrat.
Still, one has to wonder how big of a problem that would be for Strayhorn, when last year Democrats gave Tony Sanchez our nomination for governor when he had been a Bush pioneer in 2000, and even gave money to the GOP Florida recount fund. Sadly, he was our best choice. The other viable candidate in the primary is now in prison. Will Strayhorn be our best choice in 2006? Nah. Her GOP roots are too deep. I do expect her to challenge Perry, if Perry runs again. If Sen. Hutchison runs for Governor, I'd expect her to challenge Dewhurst for Lt. Gov.... as a Republican. Austin is WeirdBy Byron LaMastersAnd we're proud of it. The Austin American Statesman reports. Link via ToT:
More info here, here, here and here. There's a reason Austin doesn't want to be represented by Republicans from Houston or San Antonio. We're too weird. They just wouldn't understand. Screw Redistricting, Winner Take All!By Byron LaMastersOr so Paul E. McGreal in a Dallas Morning News viewpoint suggests. I would think that his plan would be a massive Voting Rights Act violation, but he makes a serious, if completely unrealistic legal arguement for such a system. Redistricting NewsBy Byron LaMastersThere's some new news today. Charles has a good overview of the coverage in all the papers around the state. The new twist to the story is that Dewhurst plans to fine the senators in New Mexico.
Great. Two problems guys. One, there is no quorum to conduct and business in the senate. Thus, there is no way to legally pass a measure fining the Democrats. And two, Democrats won't pay them. What can Dewhurst do? Arrest them? Nope.
August 11, 2003Texas 11 Letter to BushBy Byron LaMastersHere's a PDF file of the letter. Notice the address that they sent the letter to:
Stout Dem Blog Poll ResultsBy Byron LaMastersThe results of Bill Howell's Texas Straw Poll are out at the Stout Dem Blog. I didn't participate for exactly the reasons stated by Bill, "It was fun, but it didn't tell us anything we didn't suspect already". Exactly. Howard Dean won a bare majority with 52% of the vote. Followed by Kucinich at 20%, Kerry at 13%, Gephardt at 4% and Lieberman at 2%. It basically says that of Democratic online activists Howard Dean and Dennis Kucinich are popular, and that's about it. Bill also thinks that Kerry is stronger in Texas than his poll suggests as Dean and Kucinich had yahoo groups pushing their turnout, and Kerry didn't. Still, I'm impressed that 319 people did decide to vote in the straw poll. TX Supreme Court Dismisses GOP SuitBy Byron LaMastersThe lawsuit filed by Gov. Perry and Lt. Gov. Dewhurst asking the Texas Supreme Court to enact sanctions against the Democratic Senators in ABQ was dismissed by the all Republican Texas Supreme Court. The Austin American Statesman is on the story:
Meanwhile the Houston Chronicle has more on the Democrats lawsuit and their reaction to the dismissal of the GOP one. The Democratic reaction was obviously positive.
The Democrats are now moving forward with their lawsuit, filed in Laredo (Webb County) which is dominated by Democrats (about 85-90%) at the countywide level. The Democratic Senators argue that removing the two thirds rule is a violation of the Voting Rights Act.
This lawsuit is a new suit by Democrats. They filed several lawsuits in Travis County district court last week. Those lawsuits are still pending. Update: The Austin American Statesman has more on the Democrats lawsuit in federal court. Update: More reaction from across the state. Fort Worth Star Telegram
Corpus Christi Caller Times Is Bob your friend?By Byron LaMastersIs Bob your friend? Join friendster and you can meet Bob! (I'm personally rather impressed that I am friends with Bob Graham through four degrees of seperation). I guess I have Carl with a K to thank for it, because he is friends with Howard (who, imagine this, is also running for President! I've heard good things about him, too!). This guy Howard, who's from Vermont and seems like a pretty cool guy is friends with Tammy and Ben who are both friends with Bob from Florida!
Does your Legislator Drive a Lamborghini?By Byron LaMastersRep. Ron Wilson (D-Houston), who represents a working class, minority majority district in Houston drives one. Photos via Keep Austin United, an anti-redistricting site run by some Austin Democratic activists. Here's the picture they shot of "Texas' Worst Democrat" Ron Wilson getting into his Lamborghini and driving away. Ron Wilson was one of two Democratic State Representatives to vote for the House Republican redistricting map that would have likely resulted in the loss of 6 Democratic Congressmen (the other was Vilma Luna, D-Corpus Christi). Not only did he vote for the map, but he was openly critical of the Killer D's who broke quorum in Ardmore. I don't know about anyone else, but that's what I call a DINO (Democrat in Name Only). For that reason, I have called for his defeat in next year's Democratic primary. I don't know who will run, but I've heard that there will definitely be a challenge. Thank God. It's about time. Official Bob Graham BlogBy Byron LaMastersYesterday, I found the official Kerry Blog, and today, via Greg's Opinion and Daily Kos, we have the official Graham Blog! It's on Moveable Type, and looks pretty respectable. I see that the Graham folks are finally embracing meetup.com, too. Graham still has quite a lot of catching up to do in the meetup primary, however, as Graham sits at 444, compared to Dean (over 80,000), Kerry, Clark and Kucinich (all in the 6000-10,000 range). Even more interesting is that according to Graham's blog, Bob Graham has joined Friendster! Heh! He's the last guy you'd expect to join friendster, which I would highly recommend. It's a nifty program where you can network with your friends friends and your friends friends friends, etc. It tends to cater to your under 30 / singles / internet savey type of crowd, so Bob Graham, who tends to remind you of your grandfather (in a good way) is that last person I would expect to see sign up for friendster. So, I'm going to have to give Bob Graham a few points for trying to be hip. Next thing you know, Janet Reno will throw him a dance party on South Beach! I wonder if Bob is as graceful as Janet? We might just have to see. Best of luck to him. Rally Pictures at ToTBy Byron LaMastersCheck out some great rally pictures from Saturday's rally over at ToT. While I was outBy Byron LaMastersWell, while I was raising hell in Austin, Charles caught all the other weekend action. The only real news today, is that Democrats have asked George W. Bush to intervene to stop redistricting. It won't happen, but it's a new line of Democratic attack (when Bush was governor, he was a uniter, not a divider, and things like this hurt that legacy, so he should step in). It's mostly a public relations ploy, but heck, it can't hurt. The Dallas Morning News reports:
But the Bushies aren't really moving.
And Sen. Gonzalo Barrientos said what I expected. Democrats are working all fronts.
Update: It looks like the story has hit today's Washington Post. Another Round of EditorialsBy Byron LaMastersOn Friday and Saturday, a new round of editorials blanketed the state. The Fort Worth Star Telegram, Houston Chronicle and Waco Tribune Herald wrote relatively pro-Democratic editorials, while the Austin American Statesman wrote a mixed one today, lamenting the fact that both sides have taken to the courts. The Fort Worth Star Telegram:
The Houston Chronicle:
And the Waco Tribune Herald:
Meanwhile, the Austin American Statesman which has been pretty consistently pro-Democratic throughout the redistricting debate had problems with the seperation of powers with everyone suing. The editorial is in today's paper.
August 10, 2003Austin Enough is Enough RallyBy Byron LaMastersAs I said earlier, I attended the Enough is Enough rally in Austin on Saturday. In my infinite wisdom, I decided to go out with friends in Dallas on Friday night, and ended up only getting a couple of hours of sleep on Friday night. There were 11 buses leaving from Dallas, but I decided to go with Dave, who not only managed to get us there and back in one piece, but provided entertaining company (a special thanks to Dave for driving). So, we left from the Dallas County Democratic Party office around 8 AM and arrived in Austin around 11 AM. We were lucky enough to find a great parking spot, then walked into the capitol to go to the bathroom and cool off a little bit. We walked outside on the south steps where it was a circus. The stage was pretty small and there were several thousand people there, but it was very difficult to count. Media counts have been anywhere from 2000 to 5000. Instead of being all bunched up near the front (as is usually the case with most rallies), lots of people were scattered around under trees and in areas of shade. It was, after all, 100 degrees and humid out. My guess would be about 4000 people, but there's no way to know. There were 40 buses from across the state that brought people from as far away as Lubbock, Texarkana and Brownsville. There was a small Republican presence there. But I mean small. There were about half a dozen protesters at one corner with a couple of signs and flags. An airplane flew around the capitol with a sign attached, reading something like: "Real Heroes -- Don't flee Texas". The program was emceed by State Rep. Dawnna Dukes (D-Austin), who wore her "Deny DeLay" t-shirt. Here was the official schedule:
Amazingly, things stayed pretty much on schedule. It was the desire of all of the organizers to keep all of the speeches as short as possible and to keep the focus on the senators. Dawnna Dukes did a great job as emcee. She has a very powerful voice and held everyone's attention. The crowd was quite vocal. The favorite chant was "Recall Perry! Recall Perry!". A dozen or two of the 51 Killer D's were there. House Democratic leader Jim Dunnam (D-Waco) got the loudest ovation. He spoke for a minute and said that the Democrats would win the redistricting fight. He pledged to keep fighting the rest of the summer, all fall and all winter if it took that long. Max Shumake spoke on how the Republican maps gutted rural representation and that his town would likely be represented by a Dallas congressman under a new map. He said that he liked Dallas and all, but a Dallas congressman wouldn't look after the water rights of his community. Instead, a Dallas congressman would fight to build a dam to create more water for Dallas. The rural folks didn't want that, and liked the representation they got from Rep. Max Sandlin (D-Marshall), who looked out for their interests. Maureen Jouett, the Mayor of Killeen spoke on how she voted in the Republican primary in 2002, and that she was outraged that she was counted as a number being used in the arguements for redistricting. She even whipped out her voter registration card with the "Republican" stamp on it. She was part of the Mayors for Perry and Mayors for Dewhurst groups last fall, but she strongly supported her Democratic congressman Chet Edwards (D-Waco). Why? Because of Fort Hood - the largest employer in the state of Texas, and the largest military base in the world. Chet Edwards fought for Fort Hood and was the reason that it hadn't been downsized. She said that even though her community leaned Republican on the statewide level, they strongly supported Chet Edwards for Congress, because he used his senority on the Armed Services committee to be a champion for Fort Hood. A freshman Republican congressman would be unable to have the influence of Chet Edwards, she said. All of the family members of the senators praised their mom/dad/husband for their courage and bravery. They were all very proud. The children of Leticia Van de Putte did and excellent job. So did the others, although I don't remember specifically. One of the family members suggested marching towards the governor's mansion after the rally. Several people in the crowd joked about doing a "Texas style recall" (use your imagination), but it was only a joke, so John Ashcroft and all of yall over at the DOJ reading this, there's really no need to start arresting folks over it. No need. Next, the senators were connected to the speakers and they all spoke, and thanked the crowd for coming. They all spoke for about two minutes. Several of the Hispanic Senators spoke a little bit in Spanish. They pledged to wait as long as it took and urged Governor Perry to stop being a bitch to Tom DeLay and get back to business (although the word "bitch" wasn't used, other names were). Finally, the rally closed with music. We were all hot and exhausted, even though water was provided at the event. I went to Romeo's for some good Italian food with some friends from Dallas, then we headed back to Dallas. I got there, drove home and slept for five hours, got up at 11 PM, went back to bed at 3 AM, slept until 11 AM then got up this morning. I took another nap this afternoon. Hell of a way to spend a weekend. I'm glad I did it, though. Our senators are holed up in New Mexico away from their jobs and families, so this was the least that we could do to show our support from them. It was hot out, but if old ladies in wheelchairs could take it, then so could we. Austin RallyBy Byron LaMastersI attended the Austin rally in support of the senators (Texas 11) with 5000 other Texans. It was hot and kind of crazy but I'm glad I went. I'll write a full post on it later today. John Kerry as Howard DeanBy Byron LaMastersWell, John Kerry has joined the blogosphere. It's good for him, I suppose (and the Dean supporters attacking Kerry on there ought to stop. It's really pretty childish. Make your points, but be respectful, folks). Just in the way that Joe Lieberman often looks like he's trying to out-Republican George W. Bush, John Kerry is begining to look like he's borrowing the Howard Dean playbook. Take a look at his homepage. Now take a look at the Dean homepage. You'll notice how Kerry's added the on-line supporter tally (a la Dean) to his homepage. He's added the meetup.com link to his homepage, which I noted last week. Now, it looks as if John Kerry is trying out-Dean Howard Dean (at least in the webpage department). Starting next week will be a weekly chat with the campaign, enter the campaign with Kerry for a day contest and you can get your very own Kerry gear! In fact, John Kerry's campaign is plagued by comparisons to Howard Dean. And it's not positive for Kerry. Here's what today's frontpage story in the New York Times said about Kerry:
John Kerry tries to be Howard Dean, but he's just not:
But just as Joe Lieberman doesn't play Joe Lieberman very well, John Kerry just doesn't play Howard Dean very well.
He can't blame his sagging campaign on is health much longer. It's been his excuse for the last few months. It's not working. Both John Kerry and John Edwards seem to have this strategy of turning their campaigns on this fall. I don't think it'll work. If you're running for president, you need to be strong out of the gate and stay strong to the end. August 08, 2003Fear and Loathing in 2004?By Jim DallasLots of folks have, recently, tried to cast Howard Dean as another hopeless McGovernite. People like Dick Morris and Bruce Reed clearly want you to believe that nominating Dean in Boston will be every much the mistake that nominating McGovern in Miami Beach was 31 years ago:
There are plenty of reasons to dismiss Reed's sniping, but lets indulge in DLC fantasy that 2004's nomination process will be a lot like 1972. (Actually, since just about every Democratic nominee since 1960 has had to "fight for the soul of the Democratic Party" in one way or another - Kennedy vs. Everybody in 1960, McCarthy vs. Humphrey in 1968, McGovern vs. Everybody in 1972, Carter vs. Everybody in 1976, Carter vs. Kennedy in 1980, Mondale vs. Hart, 1984, Dukakis vs. Everybody in 1988, and Clinton vs. Everybody in 1992 - I think it's arguable that this year will be a lot like 1960, 1968, 1972, 1976, 1980, 1984, 1988, and 1992. All of them, in one way or another. You got a problem with that? But let's once again dive off into centrist la-la land and pretend that 1972 is the only worthwhile contest worth comparing 2004's race to.) Consultants and candidates who have a vested interest in making the Dean/McGovern comparison will no doubt be tempted to twist the actual history of what happened in the 1972. Anybody who wants to make a serious argument about this needs to go back to the source and read at least one book about the 1972 primaries which was written in the early 1970s. This is especially important today, since common sense dictates that most of the people who will vote in the Democratic primaries this year weren't old enough to remember what went down in '72 and perhaps as many as 30 or 40 percent of them (including myself) weren't even born yet! Those of us who have even heard of George McGovern probably remember him as a footnote in our high school history books about this weird guy from South Dakota who got his ass handed to him by Tricky Dick Nixon. And that kind of general ignorance - about why the Democrats got kicked so bad in 1972 - only plays into the hands of bigwigs who would rather install one of their own. To bone up on my party hack acumen, I got a hold of a copy of Hunter S. Thompson's classic act of gonzo journalism, Fear and Loathing: On the Campaign Trail '72. After an all-night reading session, here are my thoughts... If Dean is McGovern, then who the hell are you? The 1972 race started out with most pundits predicting Ed Muskie would walk away with it, since he was acceptable to the establishment without being too tarnished by the whole debacle that was 1968. Muskie tried to play both sides of the Vietnam War, and it might have worked, too. He won the New Hampshire primary comfortable (McGovern collected 37 percent of the vote). Yet, Muskie was forced out after a handful of primaries due to what can only be basically described as a total emotional breakdown (aided, Thompson suggests, by drug-induced hallucinations). Cue Hubert Humphrey, who makes Al Gore look downright inspiring by comparison. Humphrey was the Old Guard's best chance to derail McGovern and keep control of the party within the hands of a small clique dominated by a few labor bosses and elected officials. Thompson describes him with extreme venom --
Eugene McCarthy was lost on the electorate, too far out of the mainstream to be taken seriously by 1972. Scoop Jackson ("D-Boeing"), the uberhawk, saw his campaign sputter, ultimately making his biggest impact by joining Humphrey in the "Anyone but McGovern" movement and slurring McGovern as the candidate of "Acid, Amnesty, and Abortion." George Wallace appealed to the usual suspects, who have since ceased to be a major voting bloc within the Democratic Party. At the end of the day, George McGovern was the only decent person worth voting for in 1972 (although the idea of drafting Teddy Kennedy was kicked around). Feel free to state your own view, but if Dean is the new McGovern, I think it's only fair to say Kerry is the new Muskie, Gephardt is the new Humphrey, Lieberman is the new Scoop Jackson, Kucinich is the new McCarthy, and Ross Perot might just be the new George Wallace (again). Playing the savior-in-waiting (ala Ted Kennedy) this time around is Gen. Wesley Clark. And Thompson very surely felt that neither Muskie nor Humphrey nor Jackson stood any chance whatsoever against Nixon. Democrats today are angry, but not for the same reasons and not to the same extent as they were in 1972 To sum up this point - in 1968, people like Humphrey sat and watched while civil war broke out figuratively and literally in Chicago. In 2004, the party is coming off an era of relative unity, so there aren't as many grudges laying around. Moreover, the war will play differently. This year, it might be true that Gephardt, Kerry, and Lieberman were enablers of Bush; but Humphrey, Muskie, and Jackson were very much tied to Lyndon Johnson, who pretty much sent the Vietnam War spiraling out of control. This year, the Democrats don't really have to take responsibility for the war in Iraq if they don't want to; in 1972, the centrists were inextricably linked to it. Many, if not most, Democrats are disappointed with the Washington centrists, but not with the same sort of visceral hatred and disgust that existed in 1972. Eagleton and the competence problem Caddell's analysis is worth going over, because it makes an important point - that McGovern still had a decent shot of winning the election as late as July 1972, before Thomas Eagleton (McGovern's V.P. pick) was forced to reveal his psychiatric history and quit the race. And before McGovern attempted to appease Hubert Humphrey and the Old Guard. After those things happened, McGovern no longer looked like a sincere radical (which Americans actually could like) and more like a confused, incompetent boob. In short, Caddell argues that McGovern didn't lose for being an angry tribune of the Democratic left, but because in the last few months he failed to inspire confidence. McGovern lost because he acted like a loser. An afterthought: Thompson on Bush Hunter S. Thompson is still scrawling away, and his Page 2 columns are archived on ESPN.com. A couple weeks ago, he wrote this:
I'd like to think that the Good Doctor would return to the campaign trail and write "Fear and Loathing: On the Campaign Trail 2004." This time with a happier ending. In either case, if there's anything to this whole 1972-2004 parallelism, we're in for a very strange trip indeed. Bring it on! Today's Redistricting NewsBy Byron LaMastersThe news of the lawsuit mess is all over the papers today. As I said, blogging will be relatively light (from me) over the weekend as I'm going to Austin tomorrow for the big anti-redistricting rally, and because I just got a new computer. So, with that in mind, check out Charles's coverage of the story. You can expect a full recap of the rally sometime over the weekend. Bring them Home NowBy Byron LaMastersBush says "Bring it on", military families say "Bring them home". Check this out. Affirmative Action Back at UTBy Byron LaMastersThe UT Board of regents voted yesterday to let each individual school within the UT system decide what they would do regarding affirmative action. They declined a systemwide policy, though. The Daily Texan reports:
The University of Texas noted their intention to use affirmative action for some admissions in a June 23 press release immediately following the Supreme Court decision overturning Hopwood. CA Democratic StupidityBy Byron LaMastersI know I'm not really one to talk. Here in Texas we have no statewide Democratic elected officials. Over there in California they've got only Democratic statewide elected officials. Democrats control both chambers of the legislature in California, and none in Texas. Fine. But based on the past week, I have no clue how the California Democratic Party managed to sweep the state in 2002. No clue. The stupidity of the party of the past couple of weeks is absurd. Davis should have handpicked a replacement candidate (Feinstein, Bustamente, etc.) for himself, and got every major Democrat to endorse that candidate in the second part of the ballot. Throughout the campaign the two of them could have run on a ticket of "Recall: No, Bustamente/Feinstein/etc: Yes!". Against a divided field, a 35-40% reliably Democratic vote would have at least won the second round of the balloting. Instead, Davis showed no leadership, just like our bitch, err Governor Perry. Too bad Texas doesn't have a recall mechanism, but I digress. So instead of doing what would be in his and in the Party's best interests, Davis decided to rely on the courts to stop the recall and allow him to be on the replacement ballot. Someone should have talked some sense into him. One, going to the courts looks desperate. And, two, it didn't do him any good. (And before one of my conservative readers makes the comment that Texas Democrats are going to the courts and thus the preceding comments apply to them, I would respond by saying 1. The Texas Democrats have nothing to lose in going to the courts. The Texas Republicans are doing it, too. And none of the Texas 11 have much to worry about in re-election. In fact, there is a potential to lose 6-8 congressmen if they don't fight tooth and nail, and 2. There is a distinct possibility that going to the courts will do the Texas Democrats some good). So, where did all this leave the California Democrats? Well, Arnold decides to run and the party decides that Davis is toast. Instead of coming up with a coordinated plan of how to deal with it, though, the situations spirals into chaos. Bustamente runs. Then Garamendi runs. Who knows who will run tomorrow. Most of us Democrats would agree that the recall is wrong, but the California Democrats strategy of fighting it is idiotic. Texas Democrats may not have figured out how to win a statewide office, but at least we know how to fight like hell against Republican power grabs. A New ComputerBy Byron LaMastersWell, I have a new computer. So, I've been installing lots of stuff and configuring things and all. Blogging from me will likely be kind of light over the weekend (as I'm also going to Austin for most of the day Saturday). I have my father to thank for the new computer. I had a 2+ year old Dell which I had numerous problems with (everyone else seems to have had a good experience with Dell. Not me). For a log of my experiences with Dell in 2001, go here. Needless to say, I'm never getting another one (you'll notice that I was a little bit angry when I made that page). Fortunately, one of my father's new hobbies is building computers. So, esentially he gave me his old computer with a new hard drive (which is only a year old and much faster than my Dell) and built himself a new computer. We're both happy. I'm using Windows XP Professional for the first time on my computer (I've used it at the UT liberary). UT students can buy Windows XP for $6 at the Campus Computer store (UT has a deal with Microsoft), so it was worth it. Anyway, I've installed Kazaa Lite, and am downloading all my music, so I'm having fun. Speaking of my father, he's a doctor, and has asked me to write here that he strongly supports Prop 12. As you may know, I've come out in opposition to Prop 12. My father and I have debated the issue several times, and I've offered to post his comments on here unedited if he would like that (of course I would comment on whatever he says, but I'd post anything that he would write). Finally, I'd like to welcome Andrew back to Texas. He spent the summer as an intern for Howard Dean in Burlington, Vermont. Now, he's back in Texas. He'll be glad to know that I attended my Meetup last night and wrote letters to two undecided Democratic / independent voters in New Hampshire on why I support Howard Dean. August 07, 2003To the Courts - Dewhurst, Dems file suitBy Byron LaMastersTwo lawsuits have been filed today. The first was by the Democratic senators in the Travis County (Austin) district court. They asked that the court not allow the Dewhurst arrest senators if they returned to Texas. Perry and Dewhurst countered by filing a suit at the Texas Supreme Court asking for the power to enforce sanctions on the absent senators. The Austin American Statesman reports:
Also in the news today, was the offer by senate Democrats to meet with their Republican colleagues in New Mexico on Monday. Republicans complained that the two Republicans that traveled to New Mexico yesterday weren't treated with respect. It probably would have helped if they had notified the Democrats that they were coming:
Recall Roundup 8/7By Andrew DobbsSo I spent all day yesterday traveling home from Burlington, isolated from the news for the first time in two and a half months and I was afraid I was going to miss something. Sure enough, I miss Arnold Schwarzenegger’s announcement that he will, in fact, be running for governor of California. I gotta hand it to the muscle man, he had us all convinced he was out of the race and then pow he runs. That was the only smart move here though- this guy’s goose is cooked and he promises to take the California GOP even further into, as Joe Lieberman might say, the “political wilderness.” Why is that you ask? First off, he’s running against Gray Davis. Davis has never won a single race in his entire life- he’s only caused other people to lose. He can’t tout a record or a vision or a charisma or anything else worth electing him on, he can just make the other guy (or gal as the case may be) in the race look worse. Arnold has about as rich a treasure trove of embarrassing details as anybody- not all of them will stick with everybody but enough will stick with enough people to make this his last race ever. To wit: 1. Arnold’s drug use could be problematic. In at least one of his bodybuilding documentaries back in the day it showed him using marijuana (not a big deal necessarily but likely to alienate the conservative base he has to win as a Republican) and it is pretty clear that he used steroids for years. Pot people can handle, other drugs, particularly drugs that constitute cheating and make people violent are another story. This alone could kill his candidacy. 2. Violence, sex and profanity. All Gray would have to do is take a scene from one of his movies where he blows stuff up, curses or has some steamy love scene and ask if this is the example we want to be setting for our kids. The home of Hollywood probably won’t be as phased as a lot of places, but again, the base will be pissed and it does make him look rather non-governor like. 3. Sex in real life. Arnold is accused of being quite a womanizer and perhaps even an adulterer. Tabloids and other sources have been sitting on these stories for years as Schwarzenegger is known to be very litigious but all bets are off in this race. A couple of stories about a serial adulterer could hurt him- it didn’t hurt Clinton in CA but Arnold doesn’t have Clinton’s charisma or talent. 4. Lack of experience. Poorly mumbling inane lines in a thick Austrian accent as a cookie-cutter character in some mindless action film doesn’t make one qualified to steward the world’s fifth largest economy. So Arnold has some skeletons and Gray knows how to get him on the defensive. This is bad news for the CA GOP because they wasted their only real prospect on a race he will walk away from in shame. And now some Democrats have thrown their hats in the ring- namely Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante and Insurance Commissioner John Garamendi. Cruz is a much better candidate and Garamendi would be smart to drop out of the race while he still can and having one Democrat greatly increases the chances that we’ll have a friend in the governor’s mansion come October. Regardless of how it works out, Schwarzenegger will come under attack from his right flank by Bill Simon and Tom McClintock and Democrats will side with Bustamante or Garamendi leaving him without any real base except for people who want to vote for a celebrity. Those people already have Gary Coleman (yes, that Gary Coleman) and Larry Flynt, making this race what we all knew it was going to be all along- a circus of unparalleled proportions. The smartest guy in this race so far might just be Darrell Issa, who announced today that he would not be running. This guy gets his name ID up, gets to claim the biggest Republican victory in about a decade as his own, avoids the degrading spectacle of the race itself and is the only Republican left standing with any kind of chance in 2006. If he can just come up with some answers for some of his past problems, rewrite his bio so that it doesn’t include outright lies and maybe do a bangup job in Congress for a few years he could be the CA GOP’s top dog in 3-7 years. If the party can just keep stoking the public’s resentment and disapproval of the state government and find a way to channel that into anti-Democratic and pro-Republican sentiment Issa has a real chance for Governor or Senate down the road, as much as I hate to admit it. So here’s the tally so far- Simon, McClintock and Schwarzenegger for the GOP; Arianna Huffington and Peter Camejo as independents; Garamendi and Bustamante for the Dems and Flynt and Coleman just for fun. Definitely out- Issa, Michael Huffington and Diane Feinstein. Maybe in, probably not- Loretta Sanchez for The Ds. She’d just split the vote more and there’s already a Latino in for the Democrats. I think that the advantage lies with the GOP right now and Schwarzenegger but if Gray can make him look as bad as we all know he can then Bustamante has a real shot. Line one I still think passes until I see polls that tell me otherwise. Seeing as less than 10% of respondents said they were “undecided” don’t expect the numbers to change. Have fun folks, it’s going to be a hell of a ride! GOP Senators visit ABQBy Byron LaMastersYesterday, two Republican Senators visited ABQ to try and negotiate with the 11 Democrats away from the state, breaking quorum. The Houston Chronicle reports:
Despite the gesture, however, no progress was made.
The Senators were sent by Lt. Gov. Dewhurst, says the San Antonio Express News:
The article goes on to explain why little progress was made. It's kind of hard to convince the Democrats to come home, when there's nothing being offered to them.
In all honesty, this basically looks like a pr gimmick by the two Republican Senators. I doubt that it has or will accomplish anything. And I thought Texas Politics was BizarreBy Byron LaMastersGet your Georgy for Governor Thong! And the sad thing is that she's one of the "normal" candidates. Just wait to see what the porn star and the smut peddler will be offering to sell on their campaign sites. *Sigh* Traficant for PresidentBy Byron LaMastersThere's been lot of talk about latecomers to the game with Wesley Clark and Joe Biden, but they're not the only ones thinking of joining the fight. Former Congressman Jim Traficant (D-Ohio) who's now in prison is considering a run for president. He's even got a website up and running, here. According to his website, Traficant wants to kick out of the country "free-traders" like Joe Lieberman, "communists" like Janet Reno and "socialists" like Howard Dean. Yet Traficant is running as a Democrat. Hey Jim, what about George W. Bush? Yeah Jim, enjoy yourself in prison. Traficant links found via Political State Report post by The Wyeth Wire. August 06, 2003More from the IconoclastBy Byron LaMastersWell it looks like some other folks have picked up on the story of the left-leanings of Bush's "hometown" newspaper, the Crawford Lone Star Iconoclast. Although, out of fairness, their endorsements in last year's election were quite bipartian. They did endorse Rick Perry last fall, along with GOP State Senator Kip Averitt, candidate for State Rep. Holt Getterman (who lost to John Mabry) and Comptroller Carole Strayhorn. So, not really that left-leaning. I think that they, and a lot of other folks have realized, however, that they were fooled by Rick Perry, David Dewhurst, Tom Craddick and their gang of partisan Republicans. They campaigned as conservatives. They're governing as power hungry extremists. Here are some recent editorials by the Iconoclast: On House Democratic Leader Jim Dunnam - Iconoclast of the Week:
On redistricting:
On "Osama bin DeLay":
On Republican State officials:
On Rick Perry:
And again:
And Again:
On the Republican War on Education:
And on Dewhurst, before Dewhurst lied:
Note: I did not provide links for all of the editorials. You may find them by doing searches on the Iconoclast website on the above topics. Thanks. Alright Texas Dems, A call to Action!By Byron LaMastersI'll be in Austin this Saturday, will you? If any BOR readers or fellow bloggers will be in Austin for the rally, let me know! Most cities have buses taking people to the rally, so check with your local county party. I volunteered to phone bank for the Dallas County Democratic Party last night to help fill up some buses (more info here for you Dallasites out there). YA BASTAImagine this. Democrats Right, Perry LiedBy Byron LaMastersIt really doesn't get any clearer than this. Last week Republicans argued that Democrats breaking quorum prevented the state from distributing $800 million for needy children. The Austin American Statesman on Tuesday, June 29th reported:
As it turns out, however, the Senate wasn't needed to appropriate the new federal money. Finally, yesterday, Republicans all but admitted that they lied:
Gosh. Next time Perry lies he ought to at least try and cover it up a little better, but then again, as Sen. Van de Putte (D-San Antonio) would say, Perry's "not the brightest porch light on the block". It always helps going into a fight with dumb opponents. Now, if only the good folks of Texas would stop electing them... Most Partisan TX Editorial from WHERE?By Byron LaMastersThat would be George W. Bush's "hometown" newspaper, the Crawford Lone Star Iconoclast. You'd think that they would be as pro-Republican as can be, yes? Wrong. Take a look at this, from the Bush's hometown:
Well, a little crazy, but hell, I just love the fact that Bush's hometown has itself a nice left-wing weekly paper. It serves him right. Still, I can think of nastier things to call nutty Republicans than "rightists". Let's be a little more creative here. Update: The Iconoclast had a similarly partisan editorial back in May when the House Democrats broke quorum. August 05, 2003A Page from the DLC PlaybookBy Byron LaMastersWell, it looks as if the Dallas Morning News has taken from the DLC Playbook with their editorial on Howard Dean today. The take the DLC line that Dean is "far left" and unelectable:
Look at Dean's record in Vermont, guys. Dean has a McGovern problem, just like Reagan had a Goldwater problem. Reagan wasn't supposed to win. He was too conservative, and too out of touch. Republicans in 1980 wanted someone who stood up for their values and took the fight to Democrats. Democrats in 2004 want a Democrat who is unafraid to stand up for Democratic values and take the fight to Republicans. Dean isn't McGovern, and despite what the DLC tries to tell us, we shouldn't buy it. The DLC liked Dean as a governor, and they ought to restrain themselves from the urge to make flawed comparisons. Need help debunking the Dean - McGovern comparisons? Take a look at Ekim's comment on kos today:
I don't think that Lieberman would do the same to Dean, although I do worry that things could get very bloody in a struggle for the heart and soul of the Democratic Party if the primary comes down to Lieberman and Dean. I still think that Lieberman will drop out before Iowa, though. I must say, however, that his speech yesterday was impressive. I think that a Dean / Gephardt race down the stretch is most likely, but Lieberman is angling to unite the conservative / DLC / centrist wings of the party. The problem is that they don't vote that heavily in Democratic primaries, and much of that vote will go towards Edwards and Graham if they stay in the race. With that share of the vote divided three ways, one or two of them will probably drop out before Iowa. If not, I think that those three split the moderate / DLC vote, and the primaries quickly become a Dean / Gephardt fight. Just my thoughts. I'll elaborate more on it later. I think that what will make or break Dean is his ability over the next year or so to tone down the anger just enough, and articulate a vision for America can unite Democrats and appeal to moderates and independents. As a Dean supporter, I think that he's well on his way, but definitely has some work to do. Redistricting.... TuesdayBy Byron LaMastersCharles took the day off yesterday, but he's back on the latest news today. I'm pretty much taking today off, but he has the latest roundup here more on the possibility of Dewhurst taking legal action, here. Recall Roundup 8/5By Andrew DobbsHey folks, sorry for the absence but I spent this weekend in Limestone, Maine at Phish’s It Festival where I canvassed for Howard Dean. Amidst the copious amounts of drugs, fields of tents, 18 hour traffic jam and hours of great music we taught a few people about the governor so I’ll mark it as a success. But I’m not here to talk about Howard Dean, I’m here to talk about my favorite story of late- the California Recall. Turns out that several polls are showing the same thing- about 55% of Californians will vote to recall Democrat Gray Davis, about 35% won’t and only about 10% are undecided. It gets worse for Gray- of that 10% that don’t know, most say they will probably vote for the recall and another large block would stay home. Right now the Republicans are slit about 5 ways with former LA mayor Dick Riordan looking like the best possible candidate with surely the most buzz. One-time Socialist Workers’ Party Presidential candidate Peter Camejo is shilling for the Greens and pornographer Larry Flynt has announced he plans to run as well. With this lack luster field the only really plausible candidate is Richard Riordan, who with a healthy amount of GOP support and a lot of Dem votes is likely to to win. He might be a moderate, but he’s still a Republican and a favorite of George Bush’s as well. Having him atop the state government in 2004 would make California more difficult for Dems and could reenergize the California Republican Party, something that we really don’t want to happen. The best alternative is to do what 4 US Reps and Sen. Barbara Boxer have suggested- run a backup candidate on the recall ballot, probably US Senator and former Gubernatorial candidate Diane Feinstein. With Democrats dominating the state about 60-40, she would be a shoo in not only to win line two, she would probably rise to the governorship as even more people vote to replace the incompetent, impersonal Gray Davis with popular, well-respected Diane Feinstein. There are a few things standing in her way though. First, her landmark ban on assault weapons is up for sunset next year and she will want to be a part of fighting for her crowning legislative achievement. Secondly, she is passionately opposed to the whole process of recalling an officeholder as she overcame a recall as mayor of San Francisco directed by a group of racist anti-gun control activists known as the White Panthers. But don’t count her out quite yet. She has always wanted to be governor of the state but was defeated by Pete Wilson in 1990 and kept out of the primary in 1998 only by the prospect of running against Gray Davis. This race would cost her nothing- she would just be a back up and her only campaigning would be against the recall- and she is almost certain to win. Additionally, she and Gray Davis do not like each other whatsoever. During her first run for the US Senate she was assured that there would be no challenge in the primary, until then Controller Davis ran a vicious attack campaign (as all of his campaigns have been) comparing her to Leona Helmsley. The campaign was more than a little anti-semitic and Davis was easily beaten. Getting to be governor on the cheap and getting to end Gray Davis’ career in one fell swoop might just be worth the fight. She could even come back to the senate in 2006, appointing some other state official to hold her spot until that time. The only problem is that she’s said in the past that she wouldn’t run, but with the growing chorus of Democrats asking her to run she could claim that she had been drafted- there is nothing Americans love more than a reluctant servant leader (think George Washington or Harry Truman). Feinstein has until 5 pm Saturday to file and she’d be smart to wait until the last minute in order to keep Republicans afraid of her from backing out and supporting Riordan. Let Simon, McClintock, Issa, Huffington and Riordan all file and then at 4:50 pm have a courier run the paperwork to the Secretary of State’s office and hold a press conference at 5:05 with Gray Davis at her side. It’d create a media storm and a hell of an image- the great leader stooping down to serve the people of the state she loves next to the petty man concerned only with himself… I can’t wait to see it happen. Longhorns Support our SenatorBy Byron LaMastersI'm glad to hear that three UT-Austin students were there to support our state senator, Gonzalo Barrientos (D-Austin), although you'd never guess the source:
I was fortunate enough to be able to say "thank you" to my state representative, Elliott Naishtat (D-Austin) while in Ardmore, OK. Unfortunately, I'm not able to go to New Mexico to thank my state senator, but I'm glad to hear that Sen. Barrientos has been personally thanked by some of his Longhorn constituents. It's not easy for them to be away from the state and their families, but they're doing what they need to do to stop Tom DeLay, and his bitch Rick Perry from subverting democracy. A National Theme?By Byron LaMastersI've blogged twice in the past couple of weeks on a theme for Democrats in the 2004 congressional races. Republicans are abusing their power, whether it be by trying to impeach judges they don't like or by forcing an unprecedented recall election of a fairly elected Democratic governor, calling the Capitol Police to have Democrats removed from a house committee library, changing the rules with redistricting because they don't like the current districts that favor Republicans anyway, trying to change the senate filibuster rule and ignoring senate judicial committee rules to ram through arch-conservatives like William Pryor who won't uphold the law. The Republican Party at every level has abused the power entrusted to them by the people who elected them. There ought to be consequences for it. Will this become a national theme for the 2004 congressional races? Early evidence suggests that it is. Charlie Stenholm is bringing the redistricting fight to Washington State. From the National Journal's CongressDaily:
It's a good talking point. Rural voters everywhere, not just in Texas will be hurt by the loss of five rural representatives. Maybe this could also cause rural / farming interests to reevaluate their support of Republicans and Tom DeLay in many cases. Or maybe I'm just optimistic. August 04, 2003Texas A&M = Hotbed of Liberalism?By Byron LaMastersI never thought so. But apparently one Dallas Morning News reader does.
Ok. Am I stupid or something? Or has Texas A&M been churning out liberals? With the exception of Mike, I really don't think that their journalism department has done too much for the Democratic Party. Dean's Race ProblemBy Byron LaMastersWell, it's not a problem, but a concern. Dean has a good record on most issues of concern to minorities. He was very outspoken against Bush's decision to oppose affirmative action at the University of Michigan. Dean's position on the war in Iraq should also help him with Black voters, the majority of whom opposed the war. Still, pc wrote the following in my comments. I tend to agree:
I think that Dean's biggest problem with minority voters is that he's never had to appeal to them. Joe Lieberman is known by most Black voters in America from being on the national ticket in 2000. He's also known for his participation in the Mississippi Freedom Summer in 1964. Most recently, however, Lieberman decided that appearing on FOX News was more important than attending the NAACP convention. The other contenders, Dick Gephardt, Bob Graham, John Edwards and John Kerry have represented states (districts) with a significant minority population, and are used to wooing Black and Hispanic voters. Also, Black and Hispanic voters have a tendency to support "establishment candidates" in the primaries. I'd love to learn more about why that is the case, because its proven to be true historically and currently. The early primaries favor a candidate like Dean. Both Iowa and New Hampshire look a lot more like Vermont than the rest of the nation. Thus, Dean can win Iowa without needing any minority support. In fact, while Dick Gephardt's labor endorsements are rolling in, Dean seems to be inciting something of a revolt among rank and file union workers. At least that's what the latest Iowa numbers would suggest:
Dean's strategy will be to win or come in a close second to Gephardt in Iowa, then win New Hampshire. With those victories, Dean would become the undisputed frontrunner and primaries like South Carolina and Michigan become opportunities for Dean to appeal to Black voters (and Hispanics in Arizona). He won't be favored in either, but Dean's making the right moves so far. His National Urban League appearance was received well:
Howard Dean's performances at the NAACP convention and at the La Raza convention were also well received. I don't think that Howard Dean will ever be the first choice of minority voters, because he doesn't really have a record on minority issues. Fortunately, Dean isn't making the mistake of blowing off minority voters either (as Gephardt, Lieberman and Kucinich did with the NAACP). I think that in the end, Dean will be an acceptable choice to the vast majority of Black and Hispanic Democrats. Redistricting MondayBy Byron LaMastersCharles has a nice weekend roundup of all the action, or non-action with redistricting. Be sure to check out the Houston Press article on Tom DeLay's next battle. The Dallas Morning News had two front page stories on redistricting today. One on David Dewhurst's transformation from Mr. Inclusion to Mr. Hardball and another on the Democrats in New Mexico. Senate Democratic Leader Leticia Van de Putte (D-San Antonio) didn't hold anything back when asked about her thoughts of Governor Rick Perry:
Hehe. Who's the bitch? The Houston Chronicle has more on Van de Putte's lashing out at Perry. Meanwhile, they report that the Democratic Senators spent their weekend with family. The Austin American Statesman lashes out again at Perry and Dewhurst, as Dewhurst responds. John Kelso pleads with lawmakers to Keep Austin Weird, and let us pick our congressman. Two San Antonio Republicans traveled to ABQ trying to change Sen. Van de Putte's mind. It didn't work.
Finally, for a little humor, Republicans want the Democrats to pay for the useless special session that Perry called. Blogroll UpdateBy Byron LaMastersI've just made some updates to the blogroll and the right-hand column. There's now a section for Texas bloggers, on the left and on the right. I've also added a section for "the pros", and have significantly reduced the size of my blogroll. It's a lot easier for me to manage. I hope others feel similarly. Any suggestions? Am I leaving anyone out? The Meetup PrimaryBy Byron LaMastersThe Meetup Primary contines, and Howard Dean is once again the runaway winner. He's now passed 70,000. Now, out of fairness, the Dean campaign embraced meetup months before any other campaign. Now, it looks as if the second place finisher John Kerry has had his campaign join the Meetup frenzy, as he has added a link to Meetup on his index page. I think that we all ought to be impressed with the Wesley Clark meetup sucess. He's not even running yet, but he's #3 in the meetup poll. Dennis Kucinich is running fourth in the Meetup Primary as the official Kucinich page also urges supporters to attend their meetup. None of the other campaigns are really pushing meetup, so its really no surprise that the other campaigns have little support in the meetup poll. So what effect will this have? Meetup proves that Dean has a grassroots network that will pay dividends next spring. Only Dick Gephardt, with his labor support will be able to compete with Dean with grassroots Democratic support. John Kerry understands that, and has belatedly promoted meetup amongst his supporters. The Kucinich campaign also will use meetup as an important resource, as they won't have much else. They'll rely on grassroots support. I'm very intrigued by the Draft Clark folks. If Clark runs, I could see things really shake up. We'll see. August 03, 2003Fun with FTP (and MS Excel)!By Byron LaMastersI'm working on a post on the Meetup Primary. I've spent much of this evening finding a new FTP client, as my WS FTP is only free for 30 days. So I had to search for a new one. I found CyD Client FTP XP which I really like so far. I wanted to do a graph on the Meetup Primary on Microsoft Excel, which I did. My first attempt is here. Anyway, I'll clean the graph up a little bit, and make it a little bit smaller, do some analysis, and I should have it up by tomorrow morning. I'm heading out tonight. A Trip to Albuquerque - A Guest EntryBy Byron LaMastersBy Mike Apodaca This is also posted (with pictures) here. On Friday, August 1st, a fellowship of 5 members from the University Democrats and the El Paso Young Democrats hit the road at 8 am to visit our senators. We went on this voyage to give our senators a message of hope and appreciation to stop the evil DeLay and his two puppets Perry and Dewhurst. But what were we going to encounter, what dangers lie head, and would this question be answered, "Is Mike correct that Teriyaki Chicken Bowl is the the greatest fast food restaurant in Albuquerque?" This is a testament of our quest. The five travelers started out at 8 am in a Chevey Tahoe, thanks to my very lovable mother, and we hit the road. If you have never been to New Mexico, or driven through it, its a beautiful state, and is truly "The land of Enchantment." An unexpected problem and question occurred, how many young and university democrats does it take to change a tire? Well, it takes five. Five of Young Dems to work as a team to try and figure out how to fix a busted tire along the journey. (Sorry Mom, I promise i was only going 95 mph.) But I do want to thank the group for helping me put the tire, even if it did take us 40 minutes. Unlike Republicans, we didn't need to call on-star to figure it out. After the tire incident, we finally got into Albuquerque and into the Pyramid. Unlike the Holiday Inn for Killer D's, we found the Pyramid to be very boring, few press vans, and no protesters. I thought there would be more action and activity, but, I guess we have 30 days of fun, excitement, and history instead of 4. We found the room and spoke to a staff member from Sen. Zaffirini's office and told us that the senators were not at the hotel because they are doing work! Yes, I did say that right, Work! They are not vacationing or just shopping, but the members of the senate have been busy around albuquerque getting new ideas, looking at problems in NM that are similar to Texas, and even going to meetings. Like our Senator said, he was going to come to New Mexico in August anyway for certain issues that affect El Paso. When we got there our Senator, Sen. Shapleigh, was out with four other senators to a Union meeting at the of arrival. She told us that they are visiting nursing homes, schools, poor areas of Albuquerque, the university, etc. Perry might be saying they are just fooling around doing nothing, but the only one fooling around are the Republicans who made our Senators leave. So don't believe the lies the GOP states about their vacation, because it isn't. We came back at 2:30 pm and the senators were in a private meeting. So we just looked around the hotel, and its not all that. Just a nice fountain with nice carpet. Not really a resort like some thought it would be. Finally, the doors opened and the senators came out. We ran into Sen. Shapleigh and he gave us the grand tour of their current home. Before that, he introduced us to the majority of the other senators like Ellis, Lucio, Barrentos, and Zaffirini to name the few. Some of them did talk to us for a little bit, and I was really happy to have met Sen. Barrentos and Zaffirini. Sen. Shapleigh had some kind words for Barrentos, calling him a living Legend in the Senate for civil rights. He showed us their daily routine which starts everyday something like this: morning at 8:30 am with a daily briefing, He continued to show us around the area, the meeting room and the famous press room During the Press Room visit, we also met a writer for the Austin Chronicle who is covering the Texas 11. We did have a good chat about the PR war with this walkout and about who really controls the press. It's a sad and ugly feeling to know that most of are news sources are own by a couple of large corporations and there are only a few, like the Austin Chronicle, who are independent. Sad. Finally, our day ended with a grateful offer from our Senator, he was willing to put the bill in for a room if we wanted to stay. We declined because our Senator and the rest of them are doing so much for us and the people of Texas that we are already satisfied. We left the hotel feeling good that we got to see history and give some words of encouragement to our Senator. With that in mind, we ask for all of you to call his office (915-544-1990) or any of the other Democratic Senators. Yet, there was one question unsolved: what is this darn chicken bowl place that Mike keeps talking about. Well, while I was a student at the Univ. of New Mexico, there was this great fast food place called Teriyaki Chicken Bowl, and I've always talked about it with the members of University Democrats and how much of a great place it is. Last time I was in Albuquerque for the YDA 2003 Spring meeting, I failed at going to my beloved chicken bowl. This time, I was not going to leave without it. After giving the group a tour of "my" Albuquerque, we stopped at the restaurant I always went to and bought a bowl. I consider it the "Chicos" of Albuquerque (FYI, a famous fast food place in El Paso), but my members will speak for that one. Mike Apodaca is the President of the University Democrats at the University of Texas at El Paso, the Region I Director of the Texas Young Democrats, the College Caucus Chair of the Texas Young Democrats, the Director of Communications of the El Paso Young Democrats, and the Democratic precinct chair of precinct #69 of El Paso County. You may contact Mike at universitydemocrats@yahoo.com Statesman picks up on Dean AdBy Byron LaMastersIt's an AP article, but the Statesman is on it, here. More on Aggie JournalismBy Byron LaMastersMike, an Aggie Journalism graduate has his his thoughts on Texas A&M shutting down it's journalism department. I'll spare the temptation to make an Aggie joke. Mike's right. I said the other day that GOP budget cuts are to blame. Mike seems to agree.
The Austin American Statesman is following the Daily Texan in editorializing on the issue. Want to get involved? Go to Save Journalism.com. August 02, 2003Dem Senators work on Tuition Deregulation in NMBy Byron LaMastersWell, the Daily Texan reports that the Texas 11 have been busy working on tuition deregulation while in New Mexico:
Good for them. They seem to have been a lot more productive than their GOP colleagues. And I thought I was crazy in High SchoolBy Byron LaMastersMan. Read about some of the battles my friend Chris fought while in high school. Damn, I thought that I was a crazy activist in high school. He makes me feel old. Heh. I'm glad he's on our side, even if he does work for a company (Chick-Fil-A) which I personally boycott. And while I'm on the topic of crazy high school activists, I'd be remiss not to mention Mark whom I met working for Tony Sanchez last year. Mark is the editor of his high school paper in Plano, and a good liberal one at that. Be sure to check out his blog, too. It's a relief to know that there are some sane people left in Collin County. Chris lives in Celina (rural north Collin County) until he leaves us for the University of Miami. As much as I'd like to see him continue to raise hell in Collin County, his vote will probably be worth a little bit more next year over there in Florida. How to get a Republican to Buy you a DrinkBy Byron LaMastersI've figured it out. I was at a bar last night, and being the dork I am, I was talking about politics with a Republican friend of mine. Our exchange was something along these lines:
I love it. Dean Ad in TexasBy Byron LaMastersWow! Texas is relevant in a Presidential election. I wouldn't be surprised if this is the first presidential ad in Texas since... Carter vs. Ford in 1976 when Carter won Texas with 51% of the vote (although Texas was somewhat competitive in 1996 when Dole won by only 5 points). Len is on the story as well. In all honesty, I think that the ad will be good for Texas, but not necessarily for the Dean campaign as a whole. Why? Well, I'm happy to have anyone spending $100,000 to $200,000 (via US News) to tell the good folks of this state that George W. Bush is a moron. I wish that Democrats would have done that in last year's elections (instead of running "I agree with the President on this and that, but...). The ad is good for Texas Democrats, especially when there's so much anger among lots of Democrats and independents with Republicans over redistricting. Still, is this the best thing for the Dean campaign to do? I would argue that it's not. Sure - it'll get some media coverage nationwide (Exhibit A, US News article), and I'm sure the local news will be quick to follow. Here's my concern. Dean is spending $200,000 that can't be spent on beating Bush. Anyone that claims that Dean, or any Democrat will beat Bush in Texas in 2004 does not know Texas politics. Unless Bush is found in bed with a dead girl or live boy, it ain't gonna happen. Sure, Texas can make a difference in the primary, but it won't make a difference in the general. Furthermore, at this point, I'm confident that Dean won't need much help in winning the Texas primary. He's the only campaign with an extensive organization in Texas at this point and most of the people that work in the party admit it. So, I'm not opposed to the ads in Texas... I'm looking forward to watching them when I get back down to Austin, but I honestly think that the money would be better spent next year in a place like Florida or Pennsylvania. I like the symbolism of an ad in Texas, but we're Democrats. We can't afford what I see as something of a symbolic gimmick. I know a lot of people call consider this a bold and courageous move (just read a few comments over at the Dean Blog). Well, I hope that's how the media spins it, but I'm not too sure. Anyway, that's my $0.02. I'd love to know what Andrew thinks about it, or anyone else. Update: I see that Hope seems to agree with me, based on her comment on Not Geniuses. August 01, 20036500+ Unique Visits in JulyBy Byron LaMastersJust a special thanks for everyone who helped make July our best month so far. The last week has been our second best week ever, bested only the week the Killer D's broke quroum in May (that was when we were still over at live journal). The 6500+ is up from about 2500 (livejournal and here combined) in June, just over 6000 in May (thanks to about 3000 the week of the Killer D's) and a few hundred in April. Thanks again for everyone who visits regularly, and for any and all donations (see paypal link to the right), however big or small. We're always open to suggestions on how to make this site better, so leave comments, or email me. Lubbock ISD Uses Pedophilia DefenseBy Byron LaMastersThis is nuts.
The far right never ceases to amaze me in their zeal to deny people equal rights. Oh, and there's a reason why I don't edit my comments. I feel that the far-right wing nuts (not the mostly sane but slightly misguided righties that post here frequently) say much more about themselves than I ever could with my thoughts. Here is Exhibit A from today's comments:
Ok, Dimplecrap, I'll certainly give that all the consideration that it deserves. From Today's Opinion Section...By Byron LaMastersState Rep. Joe Deshotel (D-Beaumont) speaks out against redistricting and about the sense of "betrayal and loss of respect" for Lt. Gov. Dewhurst. The article is, here. State Sen. Royce West (D-Dallas) wrote on his thoughts, here, and State Sen. Jeff Wentworth (R-San Antonio) pleads for a compromise, here. State Rep. Eddie Rodriguez (D-Austin) makes no apology for failing to show up. And finally, for a fun column regurgitating the GOP party line, check this out. Racist Republicans? Here's the Record.By Byron LaMastersSave Texas Reps shows a record of race-baiting and hostility towards Hispanics by Rick Perry, David Dewhurst and Joe Crabb. I wouldn't say that any of the three are racists, but as Save Texas Reps shows, all three have had their moments of racial insensitivity. Austin Rally for the Killer D Senators!By Byron LaMastersHere's all the details:
Meanwhile, Save Texas Reps has an online petition to stop redistricting. El Paso YD's Support Their SenatorBy Byron LaMastersFrom Mike Apodaca:
I'll be looking forward to a full report when Mike and his gang return. Mike really does a great job with his El Paso folks. It's good to see a leader like him out there. An Early Look at the U.S. SenateBy Byron LaMastersWhile I usually don't look to the National Review for a fair and balanced overview of politics, they did manage to produce a decent overview of the senate races from 15 months out. I think that the conventional wisdom is that the GOP has the upper-hand on paper, as more Democratic seats are in play. Still, suggesting that 12 Democratic seats are vulnerable to some degree is a bit of a stretch. Even so, it's worth taking a look. Here's their analysis and my comments on each race.
Fair enough. Even with Knowles, Alaska is a tough state. If the race is Knowles vs. Murkowski, I'd call it a toss-up. If it's Knowles vs. someone that beats Murkowski in the GOP primary, I'd give Knowles a slight edge.
This is a stretch. Huckabee might make it competetive, but Lincoln is popular and has little to worry about.
Another stretch. Republicans always target Boxer and they never come close to knocking her off. Anyway, I don't see how Davis's unpopularity can really hurt Boxer too much.
I think that Graham will drop out well before the filing deadline in Florida, but I'm not sure if he'll run again. I'd love to see Alex Penelas run if Graham doesn't. Closet case Mark Foley will never win a GOP primary.
Agreed. I think that Democrats could make it competetive with Jim Marshall. I'd love to see Shirley Franklin run, but I doubt that she could win (although it would energize the Black vote to the extent where it could help us pick up a congressional seat or two).
This seat is clearly the most likely Democratic pickup. I'd be happy with most of the Dems running, although my personal favorite is Barak Obama. Archpundit has all the latest.
Republicans have never won a Senate race in Louisiana. I'd be surprised if Breaux retires, but if he does I'm sure that a group of University Democrats will be there in December 2004 to help push the Democrat towards victory.
This should be a competetive race. I think that if Farmer can get lots of EMILY's List money and is able to portray Bond as tired and lazy (much like Maria Cantwell and Debbie Stabenow did to their opponents in 2000), then Farmer might squeak by. It still leans Republican at this point, however.
Fair analysis.
I still think that Edwards will win re-election pretty easily (maybe under 55%, but he'll win). His seat, however, is jinxed. Still, I think it's quite premature to write his senate obituary.
This is another GOP stretch. Dorgan's very popular in North Dakota, and despite White House preasure, Shaeffer has said that he's not interested repeatedly.
Next time there's an OK open seat, Brad Carson will run and make things competetive, but Nickles is safe as long as he wants the seat.
I'm certainly looking forward to a bloodbath in the GOP primary. Specter will win the primary, but he could be vulnerable in November if the primary is sufficiantly bloody.
Hollings will probably hold on if he runs again. Otherwise, the seat is right up there with Georgia in terms of Democratic vulnerability.
Another stretch. Thune's chance was last year against Johnson. If he couldn't beat Johnson, he won't beat Daschle. And now Daschle has a blog, so clearly, he can't lose now.
Murray has two solid victories under her belt. Dunn would have given her a run, but Nethercutt won't be able to compete with Murray in the western part of the state and the suburbs where votes needed for a Republican to win in Washington are. Just because he beat Tom Foley doesn't mean he can walk on water.
Another stretch. But this race could become competetive. Feingold always runs close races, so it could become a race. So Ohio won't be competetive? C'mon! We got Jerry! I'm more surprised that KY (Bunning) and CO (Campbell) are not even on the radar screen. Do I expect Democrats to pick up either? Not really, but I think that both could become competetive, especially if Campbell retires. More from New MexicoBy Byron LaMastersRick Perry yesterday hinted that he'll call a third special session to deal with redistricting if he needs to. The Austin American Statesman reports.
With an upcoming deadline of October 6th for a redistricting plan to become effective for 2004, Republicans led by Phil King, are looking for ways to delay the filing deadline for Congress. The Houston Chronicle ran a story on the Albuquerque reaction to the Democratic state senators. No one really cared. The big story has been the talk among the Democrats of how to return. The Fort Worth Star Telegram has the details.
Neither Governor Perry, nor Lt. Gov. Dewhurst were particularly pleased with the idea.
Where would the Democrats go to court? Probably in south Texas where it could go to Democratic judges.
So, that's where we stand for now. |
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