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February 18, 2005Perry Approval at 51%By Byron LaMastersWhich is the best it's been in three years! That makes sense to me - for the first time in about three years, Governor Perry has gone several months without saying or doing anything remarkably stupid. Congrats, Guv! I don't have the full poll, but here's what I've managed to dig out of several articles. The poll - a "survey of 1,000 adults was conducted Jan. 27-Feb. 14 by the Scripps Research Center and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points". President Bush: Approve 61%, Disapprove 33%
Comments
For the mathematically challenged, the nets on those are: President Bush: +28% (6% unreported) Note please that Kay Bailey Hutchison and Carole Keeton Strayhorn both have absolute AND net positives considerably higher than Perry's. And the at-least 12% of Republicans who approve of KBH but not Perry is bigger than it might appear. So here are my thoughts: (1) KBH and Perry are both in competitive positions. (2) Strayhorn apparently has the most room to grow, since unreported probably tracks with a relative lack of name recognition. (3) We aren't doing enough to educate the people about Tom Craddick. Posted by: Jim D at February 18, 2005 10:55 AMI wonder what stayhorns numbers were from Republicans Posted by: Tek_XX at February 18, 2005 10:28 PMBut the voters are not asked to draw these approvals in competitive context. It is easy for a US Senator to maintain high approvals, and likewise for a low-visibility state officeholder. Governors have it much tougher. Until you see the trial heat question among Republicans "Given the choice of Rick Perry or KBH, who would you likely vote for in a primary for governor?" and of all voters "who are you more likely to support for governor, Rick Perry or KBH?" Ah tea leaves . . . Posted by: keith at February 19, 2005 08:32 AMKeith - This is true, and the difference may be substantial. One would hope, however, that voters' preferences at the ballot boxes somehow reflects their approval. So until we get those polls, we're stuck reading tea leaves. Posted by: Jim D at February 19, 2005 12:58 PM
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