Rasmussen polls are even less accurate than most.
In May they showed Kerry ahead of Bush in Illinois by only 5% (48-43). I doubt if anybody but the most brainwashed activist neocons in my state believed this.
In their June IL poll, Kerry is ahead by 16% (54-38). They are asking us to believe that an 11% shift took place.
Since early March, I have felt that Kerry's showing will be similar to Gore's margin in 2000 (55-43). I have detected no wild swings in public opinion for the past three months.
If anything, Kerry will benefit by Barack Obama's very strong lead in the race for one of IL's two US Senate seats.
Even Gov. Blagojevich's silly feud with the Madigan family has not hurt the Democrats.
This is only June, and a lot can change (it's even remotely possible that Kerry could carry Texas).
"Always look on the bright side of life!"
You Burnt Orange Report guys are generally clueless, but at least you never give up....
Posted by Jonathan Sadow at June 6, 2004 03:08 PM