Comments: Why I Still Support Dean

I aggree with you 100% There are people who are jumping on the bus who have never been invovled or ever motivated to do any political work, as I noticed here in El Paso and as well in Iowa (talked and listened to a few over the weekend). If the excitment keeps going, this could turn into something we havn't seen in a long while. We the Dean supporters need to make sure we dont lose the fire by spreading his message or getting new people at meetups

All we need now is for him to smile better :O)

Posted by Mike at September 30, 2003 12:05 AM

Thank you for pointing out the economic reality, Andrew.

I am working hard on a model to predict the next election which leans heavily on econometrics.

Right now the Conference Board and the CBO both project real GDP growth in the next year to be about 4 percent, which would be much better than his father's figures in 1992. My guess is that real disposable income will also jump about 4 percent (although that has a lot to do with tax cuts and little to do with growth).

Although the Conference Board pegs unemployment at 5.9 percent by late next summer (when people really make up their minds). My gut is it will be a hair worse, probably at about 6.1 percent. In either case, the weakness is jobs, jobs, jobs.

Unemployment aside, though, these numbers are fairly respectable and will be hard to spin as an outright disaster. Which leaves the three biggest issues next year to be the deficit (still ballooning), health care, and the war in Iraq.

I generally tend to think Dean is one of the more credible messengers on all of those issues.

Posted by Jim D at September 30, 2003 11:01 AM

dream on ...

Bush will be re-elected easily next year, the GOP will gain at least 3 seats in the Senate and at least 5 seats in the House.

Posted by mdn at October 1, 2003 08:49 AM

A bit of constructive criticism here ... granted we're riding different horses in this race, but there seems to be an overabundance of cliches in this post, not to mention more than a few overreaching comments:

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