Byron, private polls have it a lot closer than the Texas poll. The no on 12 groupd has been doing a tracking poll. The Yes on 12 are in the low 50s but going down every day. It will be a toss-up by 9/13. Turnout will be key. I know the guy that is helping run south texas for the NOs. It's tough down there, and folks are fractured and unorganized.
Lucio was one of the Democratic Senators that folded to the pressure, letting the floodgates of Democratic Senators vote with Dewhurst on HJR3
The NO on 12 ads are starting to work. I think it's a mistake to have Rick Perry on the yes ads, btw.
The poll among Baptist, domino playing widows over the age of 65 in East Texas is 66% against Prop 12 and 33% for.