Comments: A general thought

Byron maybe you could ask 'Atrios' how the final results of the Gallup poll of Bush +2 LV and -1 RV are unrepresentative of the general election.

Makes you dream....IF we only had another week...President ALGORE...BZZZZZZZZZZZ.

Wake up! You want to change the polls, get to work. i forgot you've only got Kerry to work with.
Where is Howard Dean when you need him??? Doing a talk show.

Where's Waldo i mean Edwards??? Hadn't glimpsed him lately. Maybe he's in an undisclosed location practicing.

Posted by peter at September 18, 2004 07:37 AM

After the point where you confused me with Byron, I totally lost your train of thought.

Posted by Jim D at September 18, 2004 09:00 PM

On Jim's point about people lying to pollsters is the polls taken in 2001. In polls taken on W's job approval ratings in the spring and summer of 2001, the pollsters also asked questions to the effect of "Who did you vote for in the last election" because they wanted context for their "do you think Bush was legitimately elected" questions. Up until 9/11, the polls after the election showed respondents evenly split on who they said they had voted for.

Then 9/11 happened. Pollsters took similar polls. And suddenly 60 - 65 % of the voters were saying that they had voted for Bush over Gore in 2000. Obviously Bush didn't win by that much, so about 15% of the respondents were being less than accurate in their reccollections.

Aladextra

Posted by Aladextra at September 18, 2004 09:23 PM

Sorry Jim

My point is, Gallup polled 10/26/2000 a 13 point gap in the 2000 race. The final poll released indicated Bush up 2 likely voters (LV) and down 1 registered voters (RV). How is the final poll not representative of the general election outcome? The next thought is to explain the difference. My memory tells me that Dems made gains in the House and Senate that year. ALGORE worked his butt off in the final two weeks of the campaign to reel in Guv. Bush. He knew how much work he had done and when the results did match he felt he had to contest the election in Florida.

Atrios's inference seems to be to show how far off Gallup was, not how much work ALGORE put in.
The poll was where the race was on 10/26. Just like this poll is indicating where the race is NOW. ALL it means is its time to get to work and change the numbers, get your message out. If America sides with your message, the poll numbers will change.

Posted by peter at September 19, 2004 06:24 AM
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