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October 19, 2004

Early Vote Totals in Travis for Monday

By Karl-Thomas Musselman

From Travis County Officials come the following numbers... analysis below

Early Vote Location Monday Votes % of County Total Region of County
Northcross Mall 1 1567 9.80% North
University of Texas 1 1351 8.45% Central
Randalls South Mopac 1 1068 6.68% Southwest
Randalls Research 1014 6.34% Northwest
Home Depot 947 5.93% Southwest
Randalls Bee Caves 863 5.40% West
Randalls Parmer Lane 755 4.72% North
HEB South Congress 730 4.57% South
Randall's 35th Street 713 4.46% Central
Randalls Lakeway 698 4.37% West
Highland Mall 675 4.22% North
HEB Four Points 656 4.10% Northwest
Travis County Courthouse 1 654 4.09% Central
Mobile Voting 639 4.00%  
Albertsons Stassney 566 3.54% Southeast
Randalls Ben White 541 3.38% South
Albertsons North Lamar 491 3.07% Northeast
Travis County Airport Office 414 2.59% Central
Pflugerville County Tax Office 407 2.55% Northeast
Fiesta Mart 407 2.55% Central
HEB East 7th 328 2.05% East
Albertsons Riverside 286 1.79% Southeast
Northeast Health Center 213 1.33% East
Total 15983    
Avg. Votes per Locale 694.913    

The break in the table indicates: those above it cast more than their 'equal share' of the total vote per location, those below it, less than their 'equal share' of 694 votes.

I talked to the poll worker at the Campus UGL voting location who has run it for 10 years and she said that in all that time, this is the largest first day turnout she has ever seen by far. To think that a couple cycles back, they wanted to eliminate the UGL early vote location because it was had low turnout. (Campus precincts had 20% Nader votes, in 2000. Tack that on to the about 40% Gore vote plus increased turnout and you are looking at solid Blue numbers)

The malls, Northcross and Highland, have traditionaly been high vote locations so that isn't surprising. Highland is located still in the north central city so I would assume a tendancy toward Democratic voters. Northcross is close to Kelly White's district and the Democratic/student areas of that district (remember, early votes can be cast anywhere). I wouldn't say that is the reason for it, or that that location is usually Democratic. I'd be willing one of the other BOR writers knows that.

It does seem that the top of the list is coming from the more Republican regions of the county (North and West) but it's hard to tell beccause Pflugerville is north but swing, and West really depends on how far west you go. Central west is still swing. And all of this is codespeak in reference to Strama and White's House Campaigns which are probably going to push up total votes in those areas anyways.

There just aren't as many local competitve races in the solid Democratic Central and East parts of the county. (And the Fiesta mart listed as Central, is East of I 35 and serves a lot of the residents living farther east that are minority. So there are many things you have to be able to read into this to get at the trends.

Usually Republicans love to early vote. But it is my feel, that with such a huge early vote increase, it's not because Republicans are coming out to vote. I.E. University Democrats camping out all night to be first in line to vote as well as another story of a 96 year old man who was up to vote early to make sure he cast his ballot for John Kerry and against Bush in the case that he didn't make it to November 2.

Posted by Karl-Thomas Musselman at October 19, 2004 04:30 PM | TrackBack


We should be working hard to make sure the East Side gets out to vote.

Posted by: AustinGirl172 at October 19, 2004 05:00 PM
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