Burnt Orange Report
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Burnt Orange ReportNews, Politics, and Fun From Deep in the Heart of Texas |
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May 16, 2004Freefalling...By Byron LaMastersBush's approval hit a new low today:
Kerry only leads Bush by one point in that polls, but others show Kerry moving ahead. Here's the most recent head-to-head: Newsweek Poll. May 13-14, 2004. MoE ± 4 (for all registered voters): Time/CNN Poll. May 12-13, 2004. Likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.1. Rasmussen Reports, Daily Tracking Poll, May 16th, MOE +/- 3. Anyway, it looks as if Kerry might be finally pulling ahead again. A lot of the pollsters wrote in their summaries that Bush support was softening, but voters didn't know enough about Kerry yet to make the final decision. Kerry's bio ads ought to help in that regard. Update: Zogby weighs in today as well: May 10-13, MOE +/-3.2. Bush Approve: 42%, Disapprove 58%
Comments
My sense is that Kerry is breaking...and even more encouraging, it doesn't seem like the Administration has a plan to move ahead. I just wish this were more about people liking Kerry rather than disliking Bush. Posted by: blue at May 16, 2004 07:15 PMI would say that I'm reading Kerry's Boston Globe bio.. and the more I learn about him... the more I like him. I think that the diversity of his life experiences make him perhaps the most qualified Democrat to run for president in recent history. Posted by: Byron L at May 16, 2004 08:05 PMCheck out the thread from the DailyKos on Bush and tobacco states. KY, TN, NC can all tighten up if Kerry can make his long-standing support for the tobacco bailout stick (Bush publicly opposed it again this week). TN and KY swung big in the tobacco counties in 2000 compared to 1996. The KY and TN numbers were off six points last week from January, and can continue to close. I'm not saying these are wins, but Bush is now defending turf. Bit by but, cut by cut, the president is starting to bleed. His voters from last time, even in the border South, are finding things not to like. Some of these fellas who farm, have kids (or friends' kids) in the military, and are working two of these new jobs appear to be starting to ask if being a Baptist is more important than going bankrupt and fighting a contrived war. Anybody know how Zogby got that big disapprove? Did he force the answer? There are usually 4-8% undecided/don't know on this question. Posted by: Keith G at May 16, 2004 09:13 PMRead it. Perhaps Kerry should push the issue in ads in the next few weeks there to see if it's worth making a concentrated effort at the region this fall. Heck, if we have to have Bush on the defensive in the Carolina's then we're doing something right. Posted by: Byron L at May 16, 2004 10:41 PMI don't trust Zogby this far out...I think he is trying to push more than poll, if you get my drift.... Posted by: blue at May 16, 2004 11:12 PMYeah, well Zogby did basically go out on a limb and say that Kerry would win, so I'm a little leary of it, but they're all polls so make what you want of it. Posted by: Byron L at May 17, 2004 05:10 PMTidal waves in Manhattan. Tornadoes in Los Angeles. A blizzard in Bombay. The culprit? Global warming. That’s the story in the new action thriller The Day After Tomorrow. The scenario is over the top. But the fact is, global warming is happening now. Help us make sure that things don’t get too hot to handle. Go to www.GetTheRealScoop.org to send a message asking your Senators to support cuts in Global Warming Pollution today. Take Action Now and to show you how much we appreciate your help, we’ll give you a free scoop of ice cream when you send your letter. Posted by: Get The Real Scoop at May 20, 2004 03:29 PM
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