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May 02, 2004

Momentum Builds Towards an Income Tax

By Andrew Dobbs

Now, I doubt it will be anytime in the near future, but the "an income tax is political death" meme is starting to crumble. From the El Paso Times;

Lawmakers want to lower school property taxes by 30 percent to 50 percent, which means a huge shift elsewhere to replace up to $8 billion a year in revenue. Some fear that the shift will land on increased sales taxes and a new payroll tax.



"A payroll tax is a terribly regressive tax," says Scott McCown, head of the Center for Public Policy Priorities, an Austin-based think tank that tracks issues affecting lower-income families. A payroll tax could also encourage employers to pay low wages.

"It's an income tax on working folks without any of the advantages," says McCown, who was the judge in the historic Edgewood lawsuit more than a decade ago that produced greater equity for the state's property-poor school districts. (...)

Some see a personal income tax as the state's only real long-term solution. Prominent Dallas Republican Mike Boone, representing 75 Dallas area CEOs and the 3,800-member Dallas Chamber of Commerce, told lawmakers he's already reached that conclusion.

Business leaders need to talk in public about what they say in private about the income tax, Sen. John Whitmire, D-Houston, told them, "because some little ol' worker in El Paso or East Houston don't have the access that you gentlemen have."

Houston lawyer Glen Rosenbaum, representing 11 of the state's largest law firms, called the income tax inevitable. But don't count on it this year.

Voters would have to approve an income tax. One-third of the revenue would go to public schools and the rest would be used to lower property taxes -- about 90 percent for most people.

When the head of the Dallas Chamber of Commerce is calling for a state income tax, you know that there is something going on. The traditional logic for the sales tax has of course been that "it'll kill our great business climate." Now people know that that has to be a crock- we have higher unemployment than the nation as a whole, lower wages and we have fewer families with insurance and almost every other measure of well-being lacks also. Furthermore, its not like the legislature isn't already foisting an income tax on Texans with this absurd new payroll tax, its just that it is called something different, its hidden from them and it is infinitely more regressive. If anything will be a job killer it will be this payroll tax.

The fact of the matter is that most Texans would be able to write their state income taxes off their federal returns creating a net gain of ZERO for their income taxes and would create a 90% decrease in property taxes- that's an enormous tax cut several orders of magnitude above what they are calling for now. It would also creat more revenue. It seems that the Dallas Chamber of Commerce and the big law firms are starting to realize the truth- we have a magic bullet on our hands. Lower taxes, bigger revenue, more tax fairness and greater services to facilitate business growth. You really can't get better than that.

This is the first time in a long time that people are openly talking about this issue and I'd suggest it might just be a matter of time before it starts to get taken seriously by powerful people on both sides of the aisle. We can only hope.

Posted by Andrew Dobbs at May 2, 2004 03:37 PM | TrackBack

Comments

Consider the following hypothetical, which should appeal to anyone in business (pardon the "economicese"):

In a ceteris paribus free market environment, market forces dicatate that capital flows to two different businesses in quantities sufficent to produce equal amounts of social utility.

Now, one of these businesses is more real property intensive than the other, thereby skewing market conditions. Now, capital flows unequally towards one business, creating an lesser amount of aggregate social utility. In sum, a property tax is inefficient.

In income tax is the only tax that provides a de minimis amount of market distortions, while retaining the ability to raise the kind of revenue needed to maintain acceptable levels of public infrastructure.

Posted by: WhoMe? at May 2, 2004 10:03 PM

Chew on this... Channel 5 in Dallas is reporting that we spend $16k per inmate versus $7k student.

Posted by: Jason Young at May 2, 2004 10:33 PM

That should say $7k per student.

Posted by: Jason Young at May 2, 2004 10:34 PM

Great post. Good to see a few cracks in the unholy machine down there.

Posted by: jesselee at May 3, 2004 02:46 PM

Ummmm...I'm missing something.

How is a "Payroll Tax" different from a "State Income Tax", and how is it more regressive?

Are they talking about taxing only the first $80K of earnings, like FICA, or what?

If not, even a flat income tax is more progressive than the best sales tax.

Posted by: Matthew Saroff at May 3, 2004 04:02 PM

A payroll tax is more regressive than an income tax because payroll taxes, like FICA, are usually only applied on the first $X of earnings, but not on nearnings above $X. For example, the current cap on payroll income taxed by FICA is, I believe, the first $58,000. Also, capital gains, dividends and other investment earnings are not subject to payroll taxes.

That makes a payroll tax more regressive than ordinary income taxes.

Posted by: Keith G at May 4, 2004 07:51 AM

Oh yeah, a flat tax is, in a sense, more regressive because it guarantees that income is taxed regardless of how you use it.

A sales tax or VAT taxes consumption, and, if applied to luxuries, has to prospect of being progressive.

THe problem, of course, is that a VAT in Texas would be a retail boon to Oklahoma and Louisiana, because Texans could save large amounts of money buying non-registered luxuries in Shreveport, Alexandria, and Ardmore .

Posted by: Keith G at May 4, 2004 07:55 AM

The proposed payroll tax -- regardless of what you think of it -- is nothing like an income tax. A payroll tax is paid by the employer, who can deduct it as an ordinary business expense. There is no liability on the employee.

The plan that was removed from the House bill today would have placed a 1.25 percent wage tax on each employee and assessed it on the employer, with a maximum per capita tax of $500 per year. The employer would pay the lesser amount of 1.25 percent a quarter or $125 per employee.

It has some inequities, like all taxes. But for fairness -- broad base, low rate, little tax avoidance, etc. -- it beats the shit out of the current business tax, which only one in six businesses pays. Reasonable folks should at least look at a substitute for the ridiculous, nearly voluntary franchise tax -- and the payroll is a new concept and worth exploring.

House members had an open mind on the payroll tax. Governor Perry chose not to even take it seriously, so the House returned the favor. They sent up his plan, and voted it down 126-0.

The payroll tax may not be the solution, but it had a lot more than zero votes, Governor.

Posted by: notgonnatell at May 4, 2004 10:03 PM

OH, I understand.

Only a tax on the first $50,000 so earned.

No tax on unearned income.

Yeppers, very regressive.

How about a 1% tax on income ABOVE $75,000 with no deductions?

You'd raise at least as much money, and for people in the 75+K tax range (like me), it's not going to hurt me.

Posted by: Matthew Saroff at May 5, 2004 08:37 AM

I guess I didn't explain it very well.

There is NO tax on income. It's an employer-paid warm body tax. A heartbeat, not the amount earned, is the basis for the tax.

Sorry if I didn't make that clear.

Posted by: notgonnatell at May 5, 2004 09:47 PM
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