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Burnt Orange ReportNews, Politics, and Fun From Deep in the Heart of Texas |
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February 20, 2004Kerry has Big Lead in NYBy Byron LaMastersConventional wisdom says that Edwards needs to get a few wins on March 2nd to be able to make it to the more favorable southern March 9th primaries. Most often mentioned in Edwards' strategy are Georgia (a southern state), Ohio (hard hit with job loss) and New York (upstate has been very hard hit). California offers an oppotunity, but advertising costs are likely to be well beyond Edwards' budge range there. Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island are Kerry strongholds, so it's unlikely for Edwards to strongly contest there. John Edwards isn't even on the Vermont ballot. Maryland and Minnesota give Edwards two more opportunities, but New York, Ohio and Georgia are seen as his best. So, this Marist College's Institute for Public Opinion poll shows that Edwards certainly has quite a bit of work to do in New York: John Kerry 66% That compares to last week's Quinnipiac University Poll where Kerry also had a big lead: John Kerry 48% More troubling for Edwards is that Kerry leads upstate 70% to 14%. While these numbers may look gloomy for Edwards, let's not forget where he was the week before the Wisconsin primary. Edwards makes a great close, and Kerry's rarely topped 50% as the anti-Kerry vote has been split. If the anti-Kerry vote coaleses around Edwards, we'll have ourselves another chapter in this race. Posted by Byron LaMasters at February 20, 2004 12:41 PM | TrackBack
Comments
Anyone who hears Edwards, votes for him. He's down to earth with real ideas for helping this country get back on its feet after Bush. He's not some rich boy that's had things handed to him. He's worked hard his entire life to get where he is today. Just listen to Edwards and compare his pltaform to everyone else's. And remember that we need to take back the house too. Posted by: Ivy at February 20, 2004 11:52 PMThe Deaniacs are working hard to win Vermont for Dean. I don't know if that's possible, but they're sure as hell trying. There is a HUGE writing campaign to all the state's major newspapers, letting voters know that Dean, while having "suspended" his candidacy, still wants DELEGATES to the national convention in Boston. It would be sweet, that's for sure. There is nothing so passionate as a Deaniac in Vermont. Should be interesting. Posted by: Deanocrat at February 22, 2004 01:32 PM
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