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Day 11: Travis County Early Vote Projections & Analysis


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 10:55 PM CDT


Mail Ballots-

1,037 received today which is the 3rd highest day of mail ballots returned. We're at about 65% above the total returned in 2004 and there will probably be over 1,000 returned tomorrow.

Total VBM Cast in 2004:    9,589
2008  VBM Cast so far :   15,304

In Person Voting-

A total of 30,370 were cast in person today for a total (with mail ballots) of 31,407 for the day. 261,155 have voted in Travis County now which is 43% of all registered voters. With the additional voting hours at the mega sites and turnout today being a little above what I was expecting, we'd only need 39,000 votes tomorrow to cross the 300,000 mark and if over 43,500 vote tomorrow, we'll pass 50% total turnout of all registered voters in Travis County during the Early Vote ALONE.


Total Early Vote Projection-

At this point, it's all down to how many people vote tomorrow. The Travis County elections division is predicting over 50,000 voters tomorrow which would put us at over 310,000. So the actual number is totally dependent on tomorrow and as such, our projection will split the difference and increase.

Today's "Best Guess" Total Travis EV Projection: 305,000
 
 
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Harris Co was near 600,000 yesterday (0.00 / 0)
why aren't you covering Harris?  I think 600k is a record right?

because (0.00 / 0)
Off the Kuff is covering Harris. It's enough to just keep up with Austin. I'll work on a round up of the top 15 counties tomorrow compared to 2004.

Sorry, we're all working on elections. This isn't my full time job right now.

Please read the Community Guidelines and How to Rate Comments.


[ Parent ]
Come on Austin voters! (0.00 / 0)
Today is your last chance to vote early and avoid even longer lines at your PCT on Tuesday.  I hope we crack the 50% mark.

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